Labor am Elm

Elm Laboratory

Consulting and Research

COVID-19 Regional Numbers of Dead People in the US

fit with advanced Gompertz function

Jens Röder

26 minutes read

with Advanced Gompertz Function

All the fits of the data of individual areas are created fully automatically. You may check on the graph (click on the image) if the fit has a sufficient quality, matching the data points as best as possible. There may be some cases, where by too unexpected real data, the fit is not giving a good forecast. So please use common sense to evaluate the data.

Locations or countries with not enough data points or other reasons are skipped and can be found in this list.

The table shows from the left: The maximum last cumulative number, the expected maximum number by fit, graph and location, the T2 also known as doubling time of the exponential growth, the day of turning point of the function.

The turning point is important, showing the turn from purely exponential growth to the process of fading out by limited number of victims.

In the middle of the graph is written the doubling time, that describes the time it needs to double the number of cases. This number is calculated using the logistic function and describes the growth before the turning point, where numbers rise quickly. In a simple picture, the T2 of the Gompertz function describes the later part and the doubling time of the logisitic the first part.

Color code on numbers of dead people: Below 30 , between 30 and 99, between 100 and 499, between 500 and 999, between 1000 and 4999, above 5000.

Color code on locations describe percentages of last number and expected Nmax: Above 95%, between 90% and 95%, between 80% and 89%, between 70% and 79%, between 60% and 69%, when number of cases is above 50 and Nmax is below 50% or the doubling time is below 3.5 days! Above 130%, a reoccurrence of an outbreak is indicated.

The location color code tells you, how well the Covid-19 outbreak has faded out and is under control (greenish). In red and magenta the areas are on fast rise in numbers. The color code in numbers tells you how severe the outbreak was in that region.

Applied maths is explained here.


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Actualisation date: Mon Mar 1 08:00:25 UTC 2021

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Ncurrent
location
Nmax (err) cumulative_dead death rate (err) death_rate deaths_daily T2 (err) dturning_point (err)
21328
Los Angeles, California
8666 (±1.1%) 8.76 (±4.6%) 45.791 (±1.6%) 181.25 (±0.7%)
9107
Maricopa, Arizona
4435 (±1.0%) fiterr (±err) 39.264 (±1.7%) 204.79 (±0.5%)
9078
Kings, New York
7365 (±0.2%) 13.46 (±1.4%) 16.752 (±1.2%) 106.36 (±0.3%)
8743
Queens, New York
7255 (±0.2%) 12.07 (±1.1%) 16.097 (±1.0%) 105.21 (±0.2%)
5853
Bronx, New York
4943 (±0.2%) 11.03 (±1.1%) 16.788 (±1.1%) 105.92 (±0.3%)
5422
Miami-Dade, Florida
4443 (±0.7%) 2.15 (±18.9%) 45.618 (±1.0%) 208.15 (±0.4%)
5041
Harris, Texas
3247 (±0.5%) 2.14 (±9.3%) 38.362 (±0.9%) 202.10 (±0.3%)
4142
Wayne, Michigan
3007 (±0.5%) 13.46 (±2.6%) 17.431 (±2.4%) 109.59 (±0.6%)
3982
Orange, California
1865 (±0.5%) 5.23 (±4.1%) 44.404 (±0.7%) 218.96 (±0.2%)
3888
New York, New York
3186 (±0.2%) 12.44 (±1.4%) 17.176 (±1.0%) 107.03 (±0.3%)
3861
Clark, Nevada
2613 (±2.3%) 2.36 (±17.3%) 58.787 (±2.0%) 237.93 (±1.2%)
3429
Middlesex, Massachusetts
2237 (±0.6%) 12.37 (±1.7%) 22.525 (±2.5%) 124.03 (±0.7%)
3388
Dallas, Texas
2005 (±1.5%) 3.89 (±5.0%) 51.668 (±1.7%) 215.08 (±0.8%)
3271
San Diego, California
1510 (±3.3%) 6.73 (±4.8%) 61.837 (±2.9%) 225.66 (±2.0%)
3106
Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
1889 (±0.6%) 9.18 (±2.6%) 22.768 (±2.4%) 125.80 (±0.7%)
3067
Suffolk, New York
2030 (±0.2%) 6.83 (±1.4%) 14.670 (±1.1%) 109.80 (±0.2%)
2885
Bexar, Texas
1537 (±0.5%) fiterr (±err) 28.416 (±1.4%) 214.10 (±0.2%)
2841
Tarrant, Texas
1677 (±1.6%) 4.25 (±8.1%) 54.111 (±1.6%) 227.36 (±0.8%)
2816
San Bernardino, California
1492 (±1.3%) 3.43 (±4.5%) 50.293 (±1.5%) 223.78 (±0.7%)
2674
Essex, New Jersey
2153 (±0.4%) 12.14 (±1.7%) 19.910 (±1.6%) 113.85 (±0.5%)
2455
Palm Beach, Florida
1979 (±0.5%) 3.36 (±4.5%) 48.433 (±0.6%) 203.56 (±0.3%)
2374
Broward, Florida
1912 (±1.0%) 1.77 (±25.0%) 45.538 (±1.4%) 206.21 (±0.6%)
2338
El Paso, Texas
1065273 (±144.1%) 4.40 (±5.7%) 185.384 (±11.1%) 984.24 (±15.0%)
2277
Hartford, Connecticut
1491 (±0.5%) 14.77 (±2.2%) 17.399 (±2.4%) 118.13 (±0.5%)
2216
Pima, Arizona
833 (±1.6%) 4.04 (±12.6%) 45.598 (±2.5%) 186.42 (±1.1%)
2152
Essex, Massachusetts
1351 (±0.7%) 10.96 (±2.0%) 24.082 (±2.5%) 126.71 (±0.8%)
2093
Middlesex, New Jersey
1467 (±0.3%) 10.69 (±1.9%) 23.006 (±1.4%) 122.73 (±0.4%)
2091
Westchester, New York
1469 (±0.3%) 5.84 (±2.2%) 13.720 (±1.6%) 106.08 (±0.3%)
2051
Fairfield, Connecticut
1449 (±0.3%) 10.05 (±2.0%) 16.177 (±1.8%) 112.63 (±0.4%)
2035
Worcester, Massachusetts
1186 (±0.8%) 13.55 (±1.8%) 26.148 (±2.6%) 133.44 (±0.9%)
2005
Hudson, New Jersey
1536 (±0.3%) 9.28 (±1.6%) 19.637 (±1.5%) 115.59 (±0.4%)
1969
St. Louis, Missouri
1253 (±3.3%) 6.30 (±9.7%) 57.353 (±4.1%) 175.78 (±2.7%)
1967
Macomb, Michigan
1155 (±1.3%) 13.77 (±4.4%) 29.848 (±4.4%) 113.75 (±2.1%)
1919
New Haven, Connecticut
1168 (±0.6%) 12.72 (±2.1%) 17.916 (±2.9%) 118.26 (±0.7%)
1857
Ocean, New Jersey
1092 (±0.5%) 14.71 (±2.5%) 23.407 (±1.9%) 124.48 (±0.6%)
1815
Providence, Rhode Island
979 (±0.9%) 10.52 (±3.1%) 27.677 (±3.0%) 133.55 (±1.0%)
1777
Santa Clara, California
2473 (±15.7%) 4.92 (±27.0%) 111.958 (±4.7%) 429.69 (±6.0%)
1735
Cuyahoga, Ohio
7960 (±44.0%) 6.82 (±3.9%) 126.390 (±10.8%) 503.07 (±14.4%)
1715
Allegheny, Pennsylvania
696314 (±314.3%) 3.63 (±32.5%) 234.602 (±23.7%) 1210.48 (±33.6%)
1693
Suffolk, Massachusetts
1158 (±0.5%) 7.40 (±1.8%) 20.195 (±2.3%) 120.17 (±0.6%)
1686
Passaic, New Jersey
1280 (±0.4%) 8.81 (±1.9%) 20.725 (±1.6%) 120.76 (±0.4%)
1638
Marion, Indiana
821 (±0.8%) 9.14 (±3.7%) 24.526 (±3.0%) 122.65 (±1.0%)
1613
Norfolk, Massachusetts
1087 (±0.6%) 15.64 (±1.7%) 20.871 (±2.4%) 119.98 (±0.7%)
1598
Erie, New York
771 (±1.1%) 13.97 (±3.0%) 25.434 (±4.1%) 126.67 (±1.4%)
1583
Hennepin, Minnesota
1070 (±1.1%) 6.36 (±3.7%) 32.788 (±3.2%) 138.49 (±1.2%)
1574
Richmond, New York
1104 (±0.3%) 9.94 (±1.5%) 17.222 (±1.5%) 105.69 (±0.4%)
1541
Montgomery, Pennsylvania
903 (±0.5%) 13.12 (±2.6%) 19.427 (±2.3%) 122.15 (±0.6%)
1498
Hillsborough, Florida
1135 (±1.0%) fiterr (±err) 47.695 (±1.2%) 230.35 (±0.4%)
1488
Shelby, Tennessee
1076 (±2.3%) 4.99 (±6.5%) 63.629 (±1.7%) 251.43 (±1.2%)
1472
Sacramento, California
1130 (±4.0%) 2.16 (±75.5%) 62.781 (±2.5%) 282.97 (±1.6%)
1443
Fresno, California
632 (±1.5%) 3.62 (±8.0%) 45.704 (±1.8%) 236.34 (±0.6%)
1440
Pinellas, Florida
966 (±0.7%) fiterr (±err) 37.452 (±1.2%) 205.49 (±0.3%)
1410
Montgomery, Maryland
890 (±0.6%) 6.68 (±2.3%) 22.882 (±2.4%) 128.99 (±0.7%)
1374
Jefferson, Alabama
976 (±5.1%) 2.48 (±13.0%) 73.626 (±3.0%) 278.09 (±2.6%)
1328
Prince George’s, Maryland
878 (±0.7%) 5.44 (±3.4%) 26.702 (±2.2%) 132.15 (±0.8%)
1291
Plymouth, Massachusetts
828 (±0.7%) 13.04 (±1.6%) 25.993 (±2.6%) 127.06 (±0.9%)
1274
Milwaukee, Wisconsin
1114 (±6.1%) 4.18 (±5.5%) 72.351 (±5.2%) 209.42 (±4.9%)
1241
Alameda, California
753 (±1.9%) 5.85 (±5.7%) 58.843 (±1.6%) 240.29 (±1.0%)
1147
Camden, New Jersey
658 (±0.6%) 11.41 (±2.4%) 27.996 (±1.9%) 138.69 (±0.6%)
1140
Duval, Florida
874 (±1.3%) fiterr (±err) 51.946 (±1.2%) 256.94 (±0.5%)
1139
Polk, Florida
764 (±0.7%) fiterr (±err) 40.707 (±1.1%) 217.78 (±0.3%)
1132
Bucks, Pennsylvania
640 (±0.8%) 13.28 (±2.6%) 19.107 (±3.7%) 123.59 (±0.9%)
1121
Fulton, Georgia
780 (±0.9%) 4.41 (±8.5%) 47.939 (±1.3%) 180.06 (±0.6%)
1030
Lancaster, Pennsylvania
536 (±1.4%) 13.20 (±3.5%) 37.156 (±3.5%) 135.35 (±1.6%)
1010
District of Columbia, District of Columbia
645 (±0.5%) 7.59 (±2.7%) 21.940 (±2.0%) 124.86 (±0.6%)
986
Monroe, New York
321 (±1.2%) 15.53 (±3.6%) 25.782 (±4.1%) 125.33 (±1.4%)
963
Hamilton, Ohio
502169 (±271.2%) 5.25 (±5.7%) 241.511 (±21.4%) 1228.03 (±30.6%)
955
Summit, Ohio
1193052 (±655.8%) 9.01 (±7.8%) 276.041 (±44.1%) 1441.82 (±63.8%)
951
Gwinnett, Georgia
664 (±1.2%) 4.07 (±6.9%) 54.995 (±1.2%) 213.72 (±0.7%)
921
Lake, Illinois
584 (±1.3%) 6.20 (±3.3%) 35.701 (±3.3%) 140.50 (±1.4%)
920
Fairfax, Virginia
597 (±0.5%) 4.93 (±2.7%) 24.493 (±1.7%) 133.23 (±0.5%)
910
Cobb, Georgia
549 (±0.8%) 5.39 (±7.5%) 45.128 (±1.3%) 173.12 (±0.6%)
898
Berks, Pennsylvania
422 (±0.8%) 13.83 (±2.9%) 22.345 (±3.2%) 127.62 (±0.9%)
892
Will, Illinois
854 (±9.2%) 7.03 (±4.1%) 77.565 (±7.3%) 216.96 (±7.7%)
887
Rockland, New York
682 (±0.2%) 5.93 (±1.5%) 13.274 (±1.5%) 105.25 (±0.3%)
886
Baltimore City, Maryland
575 (±1.1%) 6.66 (±3.7%) 38.417 (±2.4%) 150.65 (±1.0%)
874
Lake, Indiana
770 (±7.9%) 8.31 (±4.4%) 77.293 (±5.7%) 236.91 (±5.7%)
872
Lee, Florida
643 (±0.8%) fiterr (±err) 43.851 (±1.1%) 199.03 (±0.4%)
860
Greenville, South Carolina
507 (±1.3%) 3.44 (±6.7%) 50.198 (±1.4%) 221.95 (±0.6%)
858
Bernalillo, New Mexico
17193854 (±433.4%) 6.13 (±9.6%) 271.456 (±20.1%) 1539.37 (±28.8%)
857
Davidson, Tennessee
610 (±2.4%) 3.89 (±5.9%) 58.678 (±2.1%) 237.16 (±1.3%)
856
Mecklenburg, North Carolina
562 (±1.2%) 2.31 (±9.0%) 52.842 (±1.3%) 212.41 (±0.7%)
851
Travis, Texas
524 (±0.7%) 3.03 (±9.7%) 39.705 (±1.3%) 193.54 (±0.4%)
844
Ventura, California
253 (±1.8%) 4.42 (±14.1%) 54.706 (±1.8%) 228.33 (±0.9%)
841
Jefferson, Louisiana
576 (±0.6%) 6.85 (±3.3%) 22.898 (±2.7%) 107.56 (±1.0%)
838
Stark, Ohio
11305534 (±513.9%) 8.40 (±12.7%) 255.678 (±25.3%) 1439.06 (±36.1%)
830
DeKalb, Georgia
559 (±1.0%) 6.13 (±6.3%) 52.530 (±1.2%) 204.67 (±0.6%)
826
Kern, California
501 (±0.6%) 1.68 (±7.2%) 39.041 (±0.9%) 220.00 (±0.2%)
820
Jefferson, Kentucky
693 (±4.6%) 5.51 (±8.5%) 72.121 (±3.4%) 235.72 (±3.1%)
800
Ramsey, Minnesota
1055 (±10.7%) 7.46 (±4.0%) 80.379 (±5.8%) 288.01 (±5.7%)
789
Yuma, Arizona
402 (±0.9%) 5.72 (±2.9%) 30.179 (±2.3%) 193.52 (±0.5%)
784
Marion, Florida
431 (±0.6%) 6.75 (±2.0%) 34.073 (±1.2%) 239.42 (±0.2%)
782
Somerset, New Jersey
591 (±0.4%) 12.87 (±1.9%) 23.023 (±1.6%) 120.29 (±0.5%)
767
Pinal, Arizona
332 (±2.2%) 3.87 (±13.0%) 49.991 (±2.7%) 215.35 (±1.2%)
765
Denver, Colorado
487 (±1.1%) 6.34 (±3.4%) 27.819 (±3.6%) 127.81 (±1.3%)
763
Lubbock, Texas
165573767 (±349.8%) fiterr (±err) 252.731 (±12.8%) 1506.63 (±18.3%)
761
Salt Lake, Utah
1041 (±8.3%) 3.11 (±7.2%) 83.423 (±3.8%) 320.84 (±3.8%)
760
Orleans, Louisiana
588 (±0.5%) 7.51 (±2.1%) 16.941 (±2.4%) 101.42 (±0.6%)
758
Tulare, California
355 (±1.0%) 5.10 (±6.0%) 46.352 (±1.4%) 186.60 (±0.6%)
754
Genesee, Michigan
2601 (±109.9%) 13.51 (±4.7%) 163.977 (±32.5%) 535.61 (±53.4%)
746
El Paso, Colorado
17770312 (±738.9%) 5.44 (±7.4%) 293.742 (±33.9%) 1658.36 (±49.2%)
744
Johnson, Kansas
3353878 (±244.2%) 0.90 (±65.5%) 258.208 (±13.4%) 1419.48 (±19.2%)
742
Sarasota, Florida
792 (±3.2%) fiterr (±err) 72.525 (±1.8%) 287.02 (±1.5%)
741
Brevard, Florida
535 (±1.1%) 6.98 (±3.7%) 42.790 (±1.3%) 243.43 (±0.4%)
737
Oklahoma, Oklahoma
2020 (±15.9%) 0.88 (±51.5%) 109.573 (±4.2%) 454.05 (±5.1%)
734
East Baton Rouge, Louisiana
535 (±1.2%) 5.04 (±5.8%) 44.609 (±2.2%) 153.60 (±1.0%)
725
Mobile, Alabama
488 (±2.5%) 5.82 (±5.9%) 58.173 (±2.5%) 208.56 (±1.6%)
720
Jefferson, Colorado
237888 (±340.8%) 8.22 (±6.6%) 243.506 (±29.3%) 1208.49 (±42.3%)
719
York, Pennsylvania
968 (±10.9%) 7.43 (±11.2%) 87.411 (±3.9%) 368.07 (±3.9%)
716
Kane, Illinois
448 (±2.0%) 5.65 (±3.1%) 43.959 (±3.8%) 159.64 (±1.7%)
710
Kent, Michigan
9594950 (±688.3%) 7.84 (±4.1%) 277.623 (±34.1%) 1550.04 (±49.1%)
705
Chester, Pennsylvania
382 (±0.6%) 10.88 (±3.1%) 21.194 (±2.7%) 126.92 (±0.7%)
698
Spartanburg, South Carolina
447 (±2.6%) fiterr (±err) 57.813 (±2.0%) 259.92 (±1.1%)
696
Tulsa, Oklahoma
1865 (±14.7%) fiterr (±err) 111.896 (±3.8%) 462.35 (±4.6%)
695
Sedgwick, Kansas
5496361 (±429.4%) 1.47 (±75.9%) 225.324 (±21.1%) 1285.94 (±29.5%)
692
New Castle, Delaware
427 (±2.1%) 7.63 (±4.2%) 45.195 (±4.6%) 136.96 (±2.3%)
675
Caddo, Louisiana
494 (±1.5%) 6.44 (±5.5%) 50.774 (±2.2%) 166.13 (±1.2%)
674
Contra Costa, California
320 (±0.9%) 3.09 (±19.3%) 48.314 (±1.1%) 211.68 (±0.5%)
670
Westmoreland, Pennsylvania
200442020 (±636.3%) 8.18 (±39.7%) 224.007 (±21.9%) 1365.51 (±30.9%)
654
Volusia, Florida
504 (±1.0%) fiterr (±err) 53.095 (±0.9%) 245.13 (±0.4%)
652
Arapahoe, Colorado
402 (±0.8%) 7.72 (±3.5%) 21.289 (±3.5%) 123.45 (±1.0%)
647
Pasco, Florida
342 (±1.8%) fiterr (±err) 43.354 (±2.3%) 232.18 (±0.7%)
643
Mohave, Arizona
285 (±1.0%) 11.32 (±3.2%) 40.103 (±1.9%) 191.89 (±0.6%)
642
Washoe, Nevada
3240942 (±370.4%) 4.07 (±7.6%) 257.771 (±20.5%) 1415.63 (±29.2%)
635
Allen, Indiana
4676 (±54.7%) 8.00 (±4.4%) 139.756 (±10.8%) 588.44 (±14.5%)
624
Douglas, Nebraska
20738 (±93.4%) 4.29 (±4.1%) 156.544 (±12.2%) 741.26 (±16.2%)
613
Adams, Colorado
75379 (±231.5%) 6.89 (±4.2%) 224.844 (±23.5%) 1074.84 (±33.9%)
592
Manatee, Florida
438 (±1.2%) fiterr (±err) 51.020 (±1.4%) 199.43 (±0.7%)
591
Imperial, California
369 (±0.5%) 4.64 (±2.2%) 31.562 (±1.1%) 193.48 (±0.3%)
583
Pulaski, Arkansas
1459 (±6.7%) 2.21 (±14.2%) 97.115 (±1.9%) 416.45 (±2.1%)
582
Hillsborough, New Hampshire
322 (±0.7%) 11.66 (±2.4%) 24.226 (±2.7%) 150.46 (±0.7%)
579
Knox, Tennessee
832330 (±209.2%) fiterr (±err) 193.168 (±12.8%) 1075.53 (±17.3%)
568
Atlantic, New Jersey
280 (±0.7%) 12.92 (±2.8%) 25.950 (±2.5%) 139.65 (±0.8%)
557
Spokane, Washington
582 (±5.0%) fiterr (±err) 74.229 (±2.5%) 308.94 (±2.1%)
555
Lake, Florida
301 (±0.9%) fiterr (±err) 40.143 (±1.2%) 240.50 (±0.3%)
554
Fort Bend, Texas
369 (±1.0%) 3.22 (±9.2%) 38.650 (±1.7%) 211.37 (±0.5%)
552
Guilford, North Carolina
301 (±2.5%) 5.99 (±4.0%) 54.699 (±2.9%) 197.07 (±1.6%)
551
Pierce, Washington
436 (±3.2%) 8.25 (±7.9%) 70.893 (±2.3%) 242.99 (±2.0%)
549
Polk, Iowa
388 (±2.2%) 4.82 (±4.5%) 51.565 (±3.0%) 182.02 (±1.6%)
547
St. Lucie, Florida
398 (±0.7%) 5.16 (±4.0%) 38.876 (±1.2%) 218.20 (±0.3%)
541
Gloucester, New Jersey
283 (±1.5%) 12.62 (±3.2%) 38.266 (±3.6%) 146.35 (±1.5%)
538
Out of GA, Georgia
755 (±5.7%) fiterr (±err) 81.674 (±2.4%) 339.26 (±2.2%)
536
Anne Arundel, Maryland
290 (±1.1%) 7.07 (±4.0%) 36.037 (±3.1%) 132.14 (±1.4%)
528
Multnomah, Oregon
6629862 (±385.1%) 4.10 (±8.0%) 272.040 (±19.2%) 1519.39 (±27.6%)
525
Waukesha, Wisconsin
35017313 (±315.5%) 1.53 (±18.1%) 257.446 (±12.9%) 1501.25 (±18.5%)
522
Wake, North Carolina
332 (±0.9%) 1.99 (±9.4%) 40.909 (±1.5%) 210.85 (±0.4%)
515
San Mateo, California
181 (±1.2%) 8.44 (±6.9%) 43.186 (±2.4%) 148.23 (±1.2%)
511
St. Joseph, Indiana
29848 (±69.3%) 5.42 (±7.8%) 171.106 (±7.7%) 834.32 (±10.4%)
509
Saginaw, Michigan
2953072 (±1034.6%) 10.04 (±10.6%) 317.704 (±57.2%) 1718.46 (±83.6%)
501
Montgomery, Alabama
259 (±1.3%) 5.49 (±3.1%) 44.392 (±2.0%) 192.56 (±0.8%)
495
Richland, South Carolina
358 (±0.8%) 2.88 (±11.8%) 50.091 (±1.0%) 207.89 (±0.5%)
491
Navajo, Arizona
281 (±0.8%) 7.77 (±1.9%) 37.326 (±1.6%) 174.41 (±0.6%)
489
Dauphin, Pennsylvania
232 (±1.7%) 12.51 (±3.6%) 41.153 (±3.3%) 163.97 (±1.4%)
487
St. Tammany, Louisiana
302 (±1.2%) 5.84 (±8.8%) 43.376 (±2.6%) 137.50 (±1.3%)
479
Cumberland, Pennsylvania
13262258 (±1147.8%) 14.30 (±8.7%) 286.248 (±50.3%) 1633.80 (±72.8%)
475
Oneida, New York
181 (±2.9%) 17.40 (±2.7%) 47.634 (±4.6%) 175.63 (±2.1%)
471
Henrico, Virginia
261 (±1.4%) 9.59 (±3.6%) 44.150 (±2.8%) 140.09 (±1.4%)
468
Butler, Ohio
1462687 (±170.2%) 3.92 (±9.5%) 221.431 (±10.2%) 1215.73 (±14.1%)
466
St. Clair, Illinois
304 (±2.5%) 6.48 (±5.7%) 54.043 (±3.2%) 187.03 (±1.8%)
462
Hamilton, Tennessee
261417 (±182.6%) fiterr (±err) 206.506 (±13.2%) 1095.46 (±18.1%)
461
Trumbull, Ohio
56824 (±303.3%) 10.88 (±7.4%) 207.880 (±29.4%) 1018.36 (±41.4%)
460
Yavapai, Arizona
317 (±15.3%) 8.34 (±13.7%) 75.343 (±7.3%) 314.98 (±6.2%)
459
Collier, Florida
353 (±0.7%) 2.06 (±7.7%) 50.881 (±0.8%) 217.70 (±0.4%)
454
Madison, Illinois
13912414 (±429.4%) 1.73 (±27.4%) 289.433 (±19.5%) 1639.34 (±28.3%)
450
Charleston, South Carolina
292 (±0.4%) fiterr (±err) 25.101 (±1.4%) 202.91 (±0.2%)
443
McKinley, New Mexico
281 (±0.7%) 10.26 (±2.2%) 31.110 (±1.9%) 154.90 (±0.6%)
441
Osceola, Florida
338 (±2.0%) fiterr (±err) 52.809 (±1.8%) 250.60 (±0.8%)
438
Winnebago, Illinois
758 (±16.6%) 7.92 (±3.9%) 94.227 (±6.7%) 349.08 (±7.6%)
433
San Juan, New Mexico
226 (±1.1%) 12.61 (±2.3%) 32.615 (±3.3%) 138.55 (±1.2%)
431
Sussex, Delaware
289 (±2.8%) 6.97 (±2.4%) 52.815 (±5.6%) 124.03 (±3.4%)
428
Lexington, South Carolina
289 (±0.8%) 2.31 (±19.2%) 50.947 (±0.8%) 224.72 (±0.4%)
425
Richmond, Georgia
282 (±0.8%) 1.36 (±67.2%) 51.616 (±0.8%) 230.34 (±0.4%)
423
Seminole, Florida
293 (±0.8%) fiterr (±err) 34.726 (±1.6%) 222.59 (±0.3%)
421
St. Louis City, Missouri
243 (±1.4%) 6.81 (±5.7%) 40.744 (±3.1%) 142.81 (±1.5%)
416
Ouachita, Louisiana
327 (±4.1%) 5.97 (±5.4%) 65.990 (±3.1%) 243.45 (±2.3%)
414
Elkhart, Indiana
10165 (±54.0%) 5.41 (±3.4%) 147.628 (±7.6%) 694.51 (±9.9%)
413
St. Charles, Missouri
97452 (±181.8%) 1.72 (±54.6%) 224.846 (±15.9%) 1122.15 (±22.5%)
410
San Francisco, California
300 (±3.8%) 6.30 (±5.4%) 75.182 (±2.2%) 274.91 (±2.0%)
409
Santa Barbara, California
151 (±0.9%) 5.62 (±7.3%) 39.753 (±1.5%) 212.43 (±0.4%)
408
Dutchess, New York
168 (±0.8%) 8.73 (±1.9%) 17.166 (±4.1%) 124.15 (±0.8%)
407
New London, Connecticut
659 (±40.3%) 18.78 (±3.7%) 120.487 (±14.8%) 396.66 (±21.2%)
404
Potter, Texas
53776021 (±417.7%) 8.51 (±3.4%) 246.163 (±16.1%) 1457.38 (±22.9%)
403
Barnstable, Massachusetts
185 (±0.7%) 21.98 (±1.9%) 26.823 (±2.3%) 132.89 (±0.8%)
398
Hall, Georgia
264 (±1.3%) 6.82 (±4.5%) 56.330 (±1.3%) 221.61 (±0.7%)
397
Merced, California
215 (±1.6%) fiterr (±err) 38.729 (±2.5%) 232.49 (±0.6%)
396
Hamilton, Indiana
582101 (±1015.1%) 5.93 (±10.7%) 330.829 (±67.1%) 1714.85 (±98.8%)
392
Dona Ana, New Mexico
13907062 (±284.6%) 5.00 (±6.4%) 207.426 (±12.6%) 1222.13 (±17.3%)
389
Lorain, Ohio
3743543 (±776.9%) 7.76 (±10.7%) 278.705 (±39.9%) 1544.82 (±57.4%)
387
Clayton, Georgia
241 (±0.9%) 6.28 (±7.1%) 52.024 (±1.1%) 199.71 (±0.6%)
386
Benton, Arkansas
2612 (±30.0%) 5.94 (±3.5%) 111.587 (±5.9%) 524.86 (±6.6%)
384
Anoka, Minnesota
84480 (±335.0%) 6.43 (±5.8%) 234.828 (±30.8%) 1151.18 (±44.2%)
382
Rutherford, Tennessee
4572 (±33.8%) 3.61 (±5.3%) 139.830 (±5.4%) 639.75 (±7.0%)
381
Apache, Arizona
199 (±0.8%) 10.86 (±2.3%) 35.990 (±1.8%) 178.64 (±0.6%)
380
Florence, South Carolina
244 (±0.8%) 5.25 (±6.3%) 41.794 (±1.3%) 205.03 (±0.4%)
379
Bibb, Georgia
297 (±1.2%) fiterr (±err) 48.382 (±1.3%) 238.44 (±0.5%)
377
Vanderburgh, Indiana
1342 (±10.4%) fiterr (±err) 82.894 (±2.4%) 442.80 (±2.0%)
375
Gaston, North Carolina
503 (±5.0%) fiterr (±err) 71.577 (±2.1%) 337.30 (±1.6%)
369
Cumberland, New Jersey
170 (±0.6%) 9.67 (±1.8%) 22.189 (±2.4%) 145.18 (±0.6%)
368
Chatham, Georgia
252 (±0.9%) fiterr (±err) 45.152 (±1.2%) 227.68 (±0.4%)
363
Pueblo, Colorado
93173981 (±774.5%) 8.58 (±26.1%) 184.850 (±28.1%) 1146.90 (±37.8%)
359
Charlotte, Florida
304 (±4.1%) 5.98 (±9.8%) 70.135 (±3.1%) 242.45 (±2.5%)
356
Muscogee, Georgia
206 (±0.5%) 3.34 (±7.9%) 37.662 (±0.9%) 204.38 (±0.3%)
354
Calcasieu, Louisiana
280 (±1.0%) fiterr (±err) 43.404 (±1.6%) 201.01 (±0.6%)
352
Ottawa, Michigan
43230132 (±924.7%) 7.16 (±9.9%) 280.165 (±35.8%) 1639.29 (±51.8%)
347
Beaver, Pennsylvania
11695 (±211.2%) 7.66 (±20.1%) 218.044 (±27.5%) 967.58 (±40.6%)
345
Forsyth, North Carolina
430 (±5.2%) 4.69 (±3.5%) 76.910 (±2.3%) 326.20 (±2.0%)
343
Bay, Florida
206 (±1.8%) 4.87 (±4.3%) 43.656 (±2.1%) 250.24 (±0.6%)
342
Middlesex, Connecticut
199 (±0.4%) 19.18 (±2.6%) 19.699 (±1.8%) 121.07 (±0.5%)
340
Jefferson, Texas
241 (±1.6%) 1.77 (±24.9%) 54.318 (±1.5%) 233.23 (±0.8%)
339
Shawnee, Kansas
9983161 (±214.5%) 6.24 (±4.5%) 212.004 (±9.5%) 1244.62 (±13.1%)
337
Galveston, Texas
204 (±1.2%) fiterr (±err) 42.118 (±1.9%) 196.90 (±0.7%)
336
Broome, New York
93094 (±251.1%) 10.01 (±9.8%) 230.299 (±20.8%) 1161.45 (±29.6%)
335
Clark, Ohio
6266 (±15.8%) 9.72 (±7.5%) 107.828 (±2.4%) 562.08 (±2.6%)
332
Minnehaha, South Dakota
21751417 (±620.4%) 6.31 (±3.7%) 290.285 (±26.1%) 1668.71 (±37.8%)
331
Albany, New York
144 (±0.8%) 10.81 (±2.2%) 24.246 (±3.2%) 129.23 (±1.0%)
330
Washington, Arkansas
278 (±1.8%) 3.77 (±3.2%) 55.073 (±1.4%) 266.76 (±0.7%)
327
Okaloosa, Florida
239 (±3.2%) fiterr (±err) 50.003 (±2.9%) 261.82 (±1.1%)
323
Franklin, Pennsylvania
12683820 (±1025.9%) 15.07 (±4.7%) 268.988 (±43.9%) 1550.46 (±63.0%)
321
Kalamazoo, Michigan
261131 (±390.6%) 8.02 (±9.9%) 254.840 (±28.3%) 1316.74 (±40.6%)
319
Weld, Colorado
269 (±8.8%) 7.43 (±3.2%) 72.710 (±9.7%) 157.01 (±10.6%)
317
Kenosha, Wisconsin
5502479 (±494.5%) 8.42 (±4.3%) 272.445 (±23.7%) 1534.60 (±34.0%)
316
Madison, Indiana
138903 (±569.1%) 6.89 (±41.7%) 298.361 (±43.8%) 1498.21 (±64.5%)
315
Kent, Rhode Island
214 (±12.0%) 17.27 (±3.3%) 84.369 (±11.7%) 174.13 (±14.7%)
313
Niagara, New York
112 (±1.2%) 16.50 (±2.6%) 27.332 (±4.3%) 135.23 (±1.4%)
312
Linn, Iowa
140106 (±427.3%) 7.82 (±8.2%) 269.296 (±34.6%) 1346.16 (±50.3%)
311
Coconino, Arizona
190 (±1.8%) 7.34 (±3.3%) 50.655 (±2.8%) 160.63 (±1.5%)
310
Grayson, Texas
530 (±4.2%) 9.03 (±8.2%) 76.238 (±1.3%) 385.62 (±1.1%)
307
Maverick, Texas
190 (±0.5%) 6.60 (±4.2%) 35.712 (±0.8%) 239.02 (±0.2%)
305
Muskegon, Michigan
22860366 (±669.5%) 9.66 (±11.1%) 272.891 (±27.7%) 1579.96 (±39.9%)
304
Clay, Florida
294 (±2.5%) 1.73 (±78.5%) 72.058 (±1.4%) 285.39 (±1.2%)
303
Highlands, Florida
348 (±4.3%) 10.31 (±2.5%) 66.366 (±2.2%) 311.14 (±1.5%)
300
Hendricks, Indiana
187 (±2.9%) 12.23 (±3.6%) 54.649 (±4.1%) 166.27 (±2.4%)
298
Sonoma, California
173 (±0.7%) 1.67 (±9.9%) 35.531 (±1.3%) 233.00 (±0.3%)
295
Kent, Delaware
147 (±2.2%) 11.18 (±3.2%) 45.897 (±5.3%) 128.01 (±2.8%)
292
Rapides, Louisiana
199 (±0.9%) 5.18 (±3.8%) 41.941 (±1.5%) 193.74 (±0.5%)
291
Chesterfield, Virginia
247 (±5.5%) 5.48 (±3.9%) 79.232 (±3.5%) 262.80 (±3.4%)
290
Black Hawk, Iowa
1033994 (±517.0%) 8.40 (±3.9%) 279.966 (±30.6%) 1506.14 (±44.1%)
288
Bay, Michigan
19905747 (±632.3%) 9.29 (±30.6%) 269.357 (±25.5%) 1569.26 (±36.7%)
286
Rock Island, Illinois
11289396 (±327.0%) 5.90 (±11.9%) 270.119 (±14.3%) 1548.78 (±20.6%)
285
Marion, Oregon
766 (±19.5%) 5.99 (±4.9%) 107.022 (±5.8%) 424.31 (±7.0%)
284
Kanawha, West Virginia
724 (±12.9%) 3.55 (±50.0%) 87.330 (±3.9%) 400.23 (±3.7%)
283
Leon, Florida
231 (±1.9%) fiterr (±err) 50.383 (±1.5%) 284.84 (±0.6%)
282
Ingham, Michigan
24291122 (±472.2%) 8.21 (±7.4%) 270.188 (±18.7%) 1578.57 (±26.9%)
279
Dougherty, Georgia
188 (±0.7%) 11.21 (±2.3%) 24.820 (±2.7%) 105.82 (±1.1%)
278
Litchfield, Connecticut
151 (±0.9%) 14.49 (±2.3%) 16.719 (±4.8%) 112.96 (±1.1%)
274
Cumberland, North Carolina
168 (±2.2%) 5.46 (±7.3%) 61.755 (±1.8%) 238.68 (±1.2%)
273
Sussex, New Jersey
199 (±0.3%) 17.53 (±2.0%) 19.353 (±1.4%) 115.20 (±0.4%)
269
Porter, Indiana
2268997 (±738.5%) 8.61 (±7.4%) 286.607 (±37.1%) 1592.92 (±53.6%)
266
Cochise, Arizona
95 (±1.9%) 11.51 (±2.7%) 37.077 (±3.5%) 209.85 (±0.9%)
265
McHenry, Illinois
150 (±1.9%) 6.37 (±4.0%) 40.397 (±4.2%) 144.09 (±1.9%)
263
Cherokee, Georgia
138 (±0.9%) 6.41 (±6.9%) 52.051 (±1.1%) 199.91 (±0.6%)
262
Peoria, Illinois
3852651 (±237.1%) 2.93 (±10.7%) 236.009 (±11.6%) 1341.98 (±16.3%)
261
Lafayette, Louisiana
177 (±1.1%) fiterr (±err) 45.785 (±1.6%) 199.70 (±0.6%)
258
Sebastian, Arkansas
184 (±1.4%) 5.93 (±3.4%) 47.795 (±1.2%) 278.10 (±0.4%)
257
St. Clair, Michigan
764131 (±970.1%) 10.89 (±22.3%) 313.583 (±56.7%) 1677.54 (±82.7%)
255
Walker, Alabama
118 (±1.7%) 10.95 (±3.4%) 39.041 (±2.9%) 208.45 (±0.8%)
254
Washington, Minnesota
5931860 (±562.2%) 5.62 (±7.2%) 280.576 (±26.1%) 1586.85 (±37.6%)
253
Washington, Maryland
6106975 (±782.8%) 12.74 (±5.1%) 270.245 (±34.6%) 1547.27 (±49.7%)
252
Tom Green, Texas
524 (±16.1%) 4.76 (±4.2%) 81.269 (±5.4%) 379.99 (±4.7%)
251
Morgan, Alabama
4849 (±104.2%) fiterr (±err) 147.369 (±12.6%) 729.19 (±16.1%)
250
Brown, Wisconsin
1600 (±39.7%) 5.00 (±4.8%) 130.725 (±8.4%) 550.33 (±10.9%)
245
Lycoming, Pennsylvania
7053690 (±1228.4%) 12.55 (±31.3%) 265.490 (±51.5%) 1537.60 (±73.9%)
243
Washtenaw, Michigan
125 (±1.1%) 9.29 (±4.0%) 21.552 (±4.5%) 115.95 (±1.4%)
242
Berrien, Michigan
51734 (±403.7%) 10.57 (±4.5%) 241.667 (±36.3%) 1186.60 (±52.4%)
240
Tazewell, Illinois
8852178 (±201.8%) fiterr (±err) 200.433 (±8.8%) 1188.91 (±12.0%)
239
Mercer, Pennsylvania
41966071 (±627.8%) 12.08 (±9.0%) 194.111 (±22.5%) 1197.97 (±30.7%)
238
Sumter, Florida
160 (±2.9%) 3.32 (±62.8%) 63.780 (±2.1%) 260.62 (±1.4%)
237
Harford, Maryland
377 (±46.2%) 9.95 (±4.2%) 120.502 (±17.9%) 386.26 (±25.9%)
235
Cabarrus, North Carolina
211 (±3.8%) 2.94 (±8.9%) 73.973 (±2.2%) 283.12 (±1.9%)
234
Calhoun, Michigan
19572054 (±551.2%) 4.72 (±27.4%) 275.095 (±22.4%) 1596.91 (±32.4%)
233
Garland, Arkansas
306 (±5.9%) fiterr (±err) 65.526 (±2.6%) 337.86 (±1.7%)
232
Placer, California
1392 (±36.4%) fiterr (±err) 123.015 (±6.6%) 562.43 (±8.1%)
230
DeSoto, Mississippi
210 (±2.9%) 1.96 (±16.9%) 66.602 (±1.6%) 295.87 (±1.1%)
229
Vigo, Indiana
97433934 (±312.7%) 3.46 (±58.3%) 230.461 (±10.6%) 1404.17 (±15.0%)
228
Alachua, Florida
205 (±2.9%) fiterr (±err) 64.920 (±1.6%) 302.46 (±1.0%)
227
Fayette, Kentucky
215 (±3.2%) 2.27 (±12.9%) 70.545 (±1.9%) 282.96 (±1.5%)
226
Lauderdale, Mississippi
163 (±1.4%) 11.40 (±3.7%) 48.855 (±2.3%) 167.13 (±1.1%)
225
Boulder, Colorado
1762 (±156.9%) 7.32 (±5.0%) 179.879 (±31.6%) 696.47 (±48.1%)
224
Jackson, Mississippi
335 (±5.7%) 2.23 (±62.4%) 78.565 (±2.4%) 333.37 (±2.2%)
223
Jackson, Michigan
11404945 (±526.4%) 7.07 (±56.3%) 295.447 (±22.3%) 1693.37 (±32.4%)
222
Douglas, Colorado
3214441 (±1094.8%) 6.45 (±8.1%) 315.028 (±54.5%) 1742.76 (±79.5%)
221
Loudoun, Virginia
138 (±0.6%) 3.68 (±4.4%) 31.529 (±1.7%) 149.39 (±0.6%)
220
Houston, Georgia
135 (±1.2%) 3.23 (±16.9%) 52.407 (±1.3%) 219.85 (±0.6%)
219
LaSalle, Illinois
18366427 (±349.0%) 3.70 (±14.0%) 248.169 (±14.3%) 1451.47 (±20.4%)
218
Kings, California
93 (±0.8%) 3.87 (±8.6%) 31.860 (±1.8%) 193.86 (±0.4%)
217
Sangamon, Illinois
35488630 (±711.2%) 2.45 (±46.5%) 286.558 (±26.8%) 1680.59 (±39.0%)
216
Warren, New Jersey
172 (±0.3%) 14.05 (±1.8%) 19.708 (±1.3%) 118.18 (±0.3%)
215
Shelby, Alabama
267 (±8.2%) 2.50 (±26.9%) 96.309 (±3.1%) 363.69 (±3.6%)
214
Gila, Arizona
196 (±7.0%) 11.80 (±3.8%) 65.791 (±4.0%) 297.85 (±2.6%)
213
Carroll, Georgia
155 (±4.0%) 6.14 (±9.7%) 70.984 (±2.9%) 243.88 (±2.5%)
212
Washington, Oregon
713 (±13.0%) 3.69 (±11.6%) 105.474 (±3.3%) 453.20 (±3.9%)
211
Woodbury, Iowa
9846 (±110.6%) 4.90 (±3.7%) 180.161 (±13.7%) 840.79 (±19.1%)
210
Jefferson, Missouri
310 (±6.3%) 2.18 (±65.1%) 81.272 (±2.5%) 344.32 (±2.3%)
209
Marshall, Alabama
81 (±3.7%) 7.95 (±6.2%) 55.098 (±3.6%) 229.73 (±1.9%)
208
Rockingham, New Hampshire
106 (±0.7%) 9.99 (±2.8%) 20.085 (±2.8%) 135.83 (±0.6%)
207
Scott, Iowa
47463373 (±311.3%) 1.18 (±50.0%) 228.594 (±11.3%) 1378.73 (±15.9%)
206
Robeson, North Carolina
148 (±2.3%) 6.21 (±5.7%) 57.943 (±2.2%) 228.27 (±1.2%)
204
Aiken, South Carolina
118 (±1.5%) fiterr (±err) 40.515 (±2.3%) 228.45 (±0.6%)
203
Monroe, Michigan
38139543 (±874.4%) 8.28 (±9.1%) 256.852 (±32.1%) 1527.56 (±46.1%)
202
Terrebonne, Louisiana
154 (±1.0%) 4.82 (±7.6%) 51.184 (±1.5%) 176.10 (±0.8%)
200
Tippecanoe, Indiana
31754538 (±832.7%) 11.32 (±7.2%) 232.443 (±29.0%) 1408.78 (±41.1%)
199
Mesa, Colorado
1802549 (±321.8%) 4.82 (±34.3%) 141.023 (±16.5%) 868.75 (±20.1%)
197
Bartow, Georgia
138 (±2.0%) 4.66 (±11.3%) 60.962 (±2.0%) 198.75 (±1.4%)
196
Floyd, Georgia
17160 (±65.8%) 0.89 (±54.1%) 171.954 (±6.6%) 861.47 (±8.9%)
195
St. Johns, Florida
111 (±1.1%) fiterr (±err) 41.109 (±1.6%) 230.75 (±0.4%)
194
Newton, Georgia
123 (±1.0%) 4.49 (±8.8%) 39.913 (±1.5%) 226.39 (±0.4%)
193
Wood, Ohio
3935 (±102.9%) 2.98 (±30.2%) 182.204 (±16.2%) 779.71 (±23.4%)
192
Val Verde, Texas
144 (±0.8%) 7.84 (±2.8%) 31.253 (±1.9%) 227.22 (±0.3%)
191
Wayne, Indiana
46565797 (±414.0%) 6.38 (±12.6%) 199.454 (±15.0%) 1223.60 (±20.6%)
190
Iredell, North Carolina
42108 (±224.5%) 2.85 (±8.4%) 200.068 (±17.9%) 1040.12 (±24.6%)
189
Kankakee, Illinois
487 (±51.3%) 6.14 (±4.5%) 129.586 (±17.1%) 435.25 (±25.2%)
188
Pennington, South Dakota
1405631 (±353.1%) 5.30 (±10.2%) 228.290 (±18.5%) 1284.30 (±25.8%)
187
Somerset, Pennsylvania
1307432 (±291.9%) 18.31 (±38.4%) 107.604 (±14.4%) 720.81 (±15.6%)
186
Columbia, Georgia
103 (±1.8%) fiterr (±err) 47.690 (±2.0%) 240.28 (±0.7%)
185
Elmore, Alabama
81 (±2.1%) 6.13 (±3.9%) 49.378 (±2.5%) 217.05 (±1.0%)
184
Erie, Ohio
6170 (±81.9%) 5.63 (±21.5%) 157.537 (±10.3%) 752.66 (±13.7%)
183
Chesapeake, Virginia
105 (±1.6%) 4.29 (±7.0%) 49.402 (±1.9%) 222.92 (±0.8%)
182
Columbiana, Ohio
597 (±45.5%) 7.57 (±2.6%) 131.732 (±13.9%) 461.34 (±20.1%)
181
Cape May, New Jersey
111 (±0.9%) 12.24 (±3.1%) 35.719 (±2.2%) 145.36 (±0.9%)
180
Douglas, Georgia
109 (±1.8%) 5.24 (±9.0%) 52.942 (±2.1%) 198.73 (±1.1%)
179
Windham, Connecticut
3176182 (±1245.9%) 17.79 (±3.6%) 285.983 (±54.3%) 1634.55 (±78.5%)
177
Schenectady, New York
74 (±4.6%) 14.57 (±2.8%) 64.158 (±5.6%) 164.68 (±4.4%)
175
DeKalb, Alabama
509 (±21.4%) 6.59 (±10.4%) 113.744 (±4.4%) 517.21 (±5.1%)
174
Shasta, California
2040399 (±150.6%) fiterr (±err) 225.925 (±7.1%) 1300.54 (±9.9%)
173
Sumter, South Carolina
123 (±0.9%) 2.95 (±10.3%) 49.997 (±1.1%) 215.37 (±0.5%)
172
Moore, North Carolina
801 (±27.7%) 5.72 (±5.8%) 124.794 (±5.5%) 548.19 (±6.9%)
169
Floyd, Indiana
97 (±3.6%) 7.95 (±12.1%) 61.873 (±4.4%) 173.39 (±3.0%)
168
Santa Cruz, Arizona
75 (±1.3%) 5.72 (±2.6%) 31.876 (±3.4%) 190.33 (±0.7%)
167
Jefferson, Arkansas
197 (±4.5%) 5.60 (±7.0%) 68.902 (±2.9%) 270.64 (±2.2%)
164
Saline, Arkansas
5699 (±35.7%) fiterr (±err) 124.394 (±4.3%) 653.31 (±5.0%)
163
Talladega, Alabama
358 (±13.7%) fiterr (±err) 96.126 (±3.6%) 436.30 (±3.7%)
162
Coweta, Georgia
111 (±2.2%) 5.13 (±9.5%) 58.145 (±1.7%) 260.78 (±0.9%)
161
Monroe, Indiana
12003 (±336.0%) fiterr (±err) 218.315 (±34.4%) 1046.45 (±49.2%)
160
Butte, California
88 (±2.9%) 4.30 (±6.8%) 44.318 (±3.1%) 264.18 (±0.9%)
159
Spalding, Georgia
119 (±3.0%) 6.29 (±14.3%) 64.963 (±2.5%) 232.22 (±1.8%)
158
Lancaster, Nebraska
23601061 (±358.4%) 4.23 (±5.8%) 236.047 (±13.7%) 1405.70 (±19.4%)
157
McLean, Illinois
22466381 (±426.6%) 1.53 (±74.6%) 268.814 (±15.9%) 1588.68 (±22.9%)
156
Davidson, North Carolina
249 (±18.3%) 4.32 (±6.3%) 102.823 (±5.9%) 404.90 (±6.9%)
155
Anchorage, Alaska
147499 (±97.7%) 1.24 (±70.7%) 182.572 (±6.8%) 996.27 (±9.1%)
154
Franklin, Missouri
17881524 (±486.0%) 3.83 (±53.2%) 268.235 (±19.0%) 1571.61 (±27.4%)
153
Lee, Alabama
78 (±2.1%) 5.98 (±10.1%) 54.880 (±3.1%) 156.03 (±1.9%)
152
Hale, Texas
227 (±7.2%) 6.67 (±3.5%) 71.739 (±3.4%) 320.02 (±2.6%)
151
Harnett, North Carolina
114 (±3.2%) 3.81 (±7.4%) 64.446 (±2.6%) 230.58 (±1.9%)
150
Jackson, Florida
96 (±1.0%) 4.07 (±14.6%) 28.054 (±2.6%) 219.95 (±0.4%)
149
Michigan Department of Corrections (MDOC), Michigan
79 (±1.2%) 2.54 (±2.7%) 20.298 (±6.8%) 114.01 (±2.0%)
148
Nacogdoches, Texas
111 (±1.5%) 6.52 (±9.0%) 58.280 (±1.4%) 222.66 (±0.9%)
147
Whiteside, Illinois
37774115 (±616.8%) fiterr (±err) 232.190 (±22.5%) 1396.03 (±31.8%)
146
Ware, Georgia
104 (±2.1%) 5.31 (±7.0%) 55.013 (±2.0%) 235.75 (±1.0%)
145
Iberia, Louisiana
116 (±1.0%) 3.32 (±12.5%) 46.173 (±1.7%) 173.69 (±0.7%)
144
Livingston, Michigan
10081 (±537.8%) 14.36 (±4.5%) 261.716 (±55.4%) 1224.56 (±82.1%)
143
Pottawattamie, Iowa
291 (±15.0%) 5.60 (±6.2%) 92.370 (±4.9%) 389.98 (±5.1%)
142
Tallapoosa, Alabama
85 (±0.6%) 11.28 (±4.7%) 21.237 (±2.5%) 126.28 (±0.7%)
141
Wicomico, Maryland
56 (±1.2%) 9.14 (±3.3%) 31.808 (±3.3%) 144.84 (±1.2%)
140
Gibson, Tennessee
146 (±2.6%) 5.90 (±3.8%) 54.725 (±1.5%) 315.58 (±0.7%)
139
Reno, Kansas
268 (±6.6%) 2.94 (±13.6%) 48.697 (±2.5%) 363.04 (±1.0%)
138
Burke, North Carolina
206 (±8.1%) 4.77 (±5.6%) 95.996 (±3.1%) 361.57 (±3.5%)
137
Tuscola, Michigan
1041153 (±922.5%) 12.05 (±18.9%) 314.795 (±48.3%) 1723.12 (±70.5%)
136
Warren, Kentucky
117 (±3.6%) 4.96 (±4.8%) 59.962 (±2.6%) 269.97 (±1.5%)
135
Delaware, Ohio
1143070 (±554.4%) 3.79 (±7.7%) 233.961 (±28.4%) 1319.18 (±39.8%)
134
Limestone, Alabama
120 (±7.8%) fiterr (±err) 72.090 (±3.6%) 333.24 (±2.6%)
133
St. John the Baptist, Louisiana
105 (±0.8%) 10.50 (±2.7%) 27.666 (±3.4%) 100.80 (±1.8%)
132
Cherokee, South Carolina
97 (±3.1%) 7.27 (±4.1%) 55.992 (±2.5%) 259.51 (±1.2%)
131
Suwannee, Florida
106 (±1.8%) fiterr (±err) 50.892 (±2.1%) 213.36 (±0.9%)
130
Guam
137 (±1.3%) 5.08 (±50.2%) 36.449 (±1.6%) 278.83 (±0.3%)
129
Pearl River, Mississippi
99 (±4.0%) 6.73 (±27.3%) 70.961 (±3.6%) 208.27 (±3.2%)
127
Duplin, North Carolina
60 (±0.7%) 5.52 (±2.6%) 33.792 (±1.8%) 168.75 (±0.5%)
126
Putnam, Florida
70 (±1.7%) fiterr (±err) 44.935 (±2.1%) 231.39 (±0.7%)
125
Champaign, Illinois
11533431 (±564.7%) 3.01 (±15.5%) 268.401 (±22.4%) 1568.52 (±32.2%)
124
Darke, Ohio
5583 (±96.4%) 4.38 (±34.6%) 192.161 (±12.0%) 883.82 (±17.0%)
123
Columbia, Pennsylvania
75 (±13.6%) 19.08 (±3.5%) 83.222 (±12.5%) 182.90 (±15.7%)
122
Twin Falls, Idaho
6887301 (±583.7%) 3.52 (±8.2%) 288.500 (±25.5%) 1646.45 (±37.0%)
121
Independence, Arkansas
94 (±1.7%) 8.50 (±3.6%) 33.633 (±2.2%) 286.67 (±0.3%)
120
Tift, Georgia
88 (±1.0%) 4.61 (±4.1%) 50.262 (±1.3%) 204.79 (±0.6%)
119
Bedford, Tennessee
2583885 (±430.9%) 6.99 (±9.3%) 248.608 (±19.2%) 1432.11 (±27.2%)
118
Clarke, Georgia
111 (±7.1%) 0.77 (±39.1%) 78.548 (±4.0%) 283.25 (±3.8%)
117
Avoyelles, Louisiana
87 (±1.4%) fiterr (±err) 48.118 (±1.7%) 223.05 (±0.7%)
116
Barrow, Georgia
64 (±1.2%) 6.00 (±6.9%) 47.408 (±1.7%) 188.43 (±0.8%)
115
Walker, Texas
87 (±2.7%) 3.15 (±5.7%) 55.849 (±3.3%) 198.04 (±1.7%)
114
Upson, Georgia
89 (±1.9%) 7.19 (±18.3%) 55.165 (±2.8%) 164.31 (±1.5%)
113
Thomas, Georgia
110 (±3.0%) 6.59 (±6.3%) 66.504 (±2.9%) 206.80 (±2.2%)
112
Mississippi, Arkansas
98 (±1.1%) 3.99 (±5.3%) 39.053 (±1.4%) 256.73 (±0.3%)
111
Marion, Illinois
212 (±9.0%) 2.21 (±15.1%) 44.868 (±4.2%) 348.98 (±1.3%)
110
Chambers, Alabama
60 (±2.2%) 10.20 (±5.3%) 56.910 (±3.3%) 152.35 (±2.1%)
109
White, Arkansas
108 (±4.1%) 0.75 (±77.8%) 54.635 (±2.4%) 310.10 (±1.1%)
108
Wapello, Iowa
99 (±3.4%) 9.60 (±3.2%) 57.090 (±3.6%) 219.55 (±1.9%)
107
Dale, Alabama
57 (±0.8%) 5.45 (±4.5%) 28.597 (±2.3%) 219.60 (±0.3%)
106
Covington, Alabama
35 (±1.1%) 1.96 (±44.3%) 34.769 (±2.2%) 202.89 (±0.5%)
105
Sarpy, Nebraska
335 (±15.3%) 3.42 (±5.6%) 88.490 (±4.2%) 418.80 (±4.0%)
104
Merrimack, New Hampshire
21520 (±592.3%) 15.56 (±3.1%) 272.211 (±51.1%) 1338.74 (±74.6%)
103
Gratiot, Michigan
5118652 (±1140.3%) 13.37 (±35.3%) 272.698 (±47.3%) 1579.42 (±68.0%)
102
Union, Arkansas
111 (±5.1%) 8.21 (±8.1%) 66.611 (±3.1%) 285.06 (±2.1%)
101
Colquitt, Georgia
74 (±2.7%) 4.87 (±5.6%) 70.311 (±2.0%) 239.86 (±1.7%)
100
Chilton, Alabama
58 (±3.1%) 0.77 (±69.0%) 45.808 (±3.0%) 266.67 (±0.9%)
99
Cass, Indiana
1016026 (±583.3%) 4.77 (±3.6%) 266.797 (±28.2%) 1503.02 (±40.3%)
98
Dodge, Georgia
105 (±7.6%) 10.66 (±7.6%) 47.485 (±4.6%) 320.67 (±1.5%)
97
Sutter, California
12219680 (±901.5%) 3.70 (±8.6%) 231.660 (±33.0%) 1392.64 (±46.6%)
96
Baxter, Arkansas
2553 (±79.0%) 2.33 (±28.2%) 86.242 (±10.5%) 524.92 (±9.3%)
95
Marion, Alabama
42 (±1.9%) 3.75 (±23.2%) 50.880 (±2.6%) 185.81 (±1.3%)
94
Crittenden, Arkansas
79 (±2.0%) 3.82 (±7.0%) 52.922 (±2.0%) 235.08 (±0.9%)
93
Sumter, Georgia
68 (±0.7%) 12.60 (±2.8%) 32.125 (±2.4%) 123.90 (±1.0%)
92
Worcester, Maryland
58 (±5.7%) 10.76 (±4.9%) 71.921 (±4.6%) 230.96 (±3.8%)
91
Autauga, Alabama
56 (±3.7%) 5.55 (±4.2%) 60.331 (±3.2%) 237.81 (±2.0%)
90
Morgan, Colorado
51 (±0.9%) 11.34 (±2.1%) 16.513 (±5.2%) 124.96 (±1.0%)
89
Flagler, Florida
63 (±2.4%) 3.03 (±28.9%) 53.535 (±2.0%) 262.56 (±0.9%)
88
Monroe, Georgia
67 (±0.8%) 3.10 (±44.1%) 43.514 (±1.2%) 207.27 (±0.4%)
87
Webster, Iowa
4093339 (±399.4%) 3.47 (±9.6%) 210.945 (±17.0%) 1248.74 (±23.5%)
86
Branch, Michigan
9154905 (±279.6%) 6.85 (±8.6%) 175.961 (±11.0%) 1084.79 (±14.6%)
85
Lawrence, Alabama
38 (±0.9%) 5.69 (±8.2%) 25.607 (±2.2%) 258.00 (±0.2%)
84
Perry, Pennsylvania
4865054 (±1205.3%) 18.09 (±9.3%) 259.631 (±45.5%) 1535.01 (±65.3%)
83
Gadsden, Florida
61 (±0.6%) 2.86 (±11.4%) 33.861 (±1.1%) 221.76 (±0.2%)
82
Walton, Florida
64 (±3.6%) fiterr (±err) 68.901 (±2.4%) 267.28 (±1.8%)
81
Gibson, Indiana
7374676 (±403.3%) 4.80 (±17.4%) 188.061 (±16.0%) 1146.51 (±21.5%)
80
Greene, Indiana
55 (±3.5%) 7.31 (±64.9%) 54.351 (±5.5%) 158.03 (±3.0%)
79
Polk, Georgia
58 (±3.7%) 2.25 (±12.9%) 55.157 (±2.7%) 280.69 (±1.3%)
78
Emanuel, Georgia
55 (±1.1%) 6.89 (±3.0%) 40.367 (±1.5%) 246.47 (±0.3%)
77
Franklin, Alabama
35 (±0.5%) 5.71 (±5.7%) 38.178 (±1.0%) 184.93 (±0.3%)
76
Livingston, Illinois
19833259 (±456.1%) 3.70 (±11.8%) 192.694 (±16.3%) 1190.90 (±22.2%)
75
Greene, Arkansas
837 (±53.1%) 0.93 (±71.6%) 99.747 (±9.0%) 523.97 (±9.1%)
74
Nevada, California
10834120 (±886.2%) 9.04 (±5.0%) 160.423 (±33.0%) 1015.49 (±42.7%)
73
Graham, Arizona
46 (±3.5%) 4.76 (±8.0%) 45.524 (±4.1%) 242.00 (±1.3%)
72
Escambia, Alabama
34 (±0.7%) fiterr (±err) 39.700 (±1.1%) 206.80 (±0.3%)
71
La Paz, Arizona
32 (±6.1%) 11.13 (±4.6%) 58.185 (±5.2%) 242.33 (±3.0%)
70
Geneva, Alabama
50018 (±614.2%) 5.23 (±25.3%) 190.418 (±39.1%) 1059.60 (±52.1%)
69
Harrison, Iowa
117 (±11.1%) 4.81 (±27.7%) 49.100 (±5.0%) 348.42 (±1.9%)
68
Hale, Alabama
30 (±0.5%) 9.44 (±2.5%) 25.883 (±1.7%) 160.47 (±0.4%)
67
Winston, Alabama
72 (±24.1%) 8.23 (±5.5%) 86.093 (±9.4%) 357.22 (±9.1%)
66
Butler, Alabama
41 (±0.5%) 8.18 (±2.6%) 26.650 (±1.8%) 151.32 (±0.5%)
65
Logan, Colorado
14592943 (±587.5%) 3.44 (±66.7%) 203.350 (±21.8%) 1239.54 (±30.0%)
64
Cass, Michigan
108 (±11.5%) 5.12 (±10.7%) 86.274 (±4.3%) 361.55 (±4.2%)
63
Polk, Arkansas
6216512 (±671.6%) 8.81 (±8.2%) 154.405 (±25.7%) 980.37 (±32.8%)
62
Appling, Georgia
63 (±3.6%) 5.05 (±4.3%) 70.726 (±2.8%) 240.60 (±2.2%)
61
Otero, Colorado
9021266 (±1162.2%) 13.62 (±67.3%) 200.675 (±42.2%) 1229.59 (±58.0%)
60
Bibb, Alabama
1103930 (±494.5%) 5.45 (±3.7%) 198.292 (±23.6%) 1158.72 (±32.0%)
59
Delta, Colorado
2842101 (±576.3%) 17.75 (±15.2%) 168.181 (±23.0%) 1043.42 (±30.1%)
58
Tattnall, Georgia
81 (±9.5%) 6.65 (±3.9%) 63.126 (±4.2%) 341.71 (±2.5%)
57
Hancock, Georgia
44 (±0.8%) 16.89 (±2.5%) 26.820 (±2.9%) 147.10 (±0.8%)
56
Henry, Illinois
9018969 (±379.2%) 3.59 (±50.9%) 186.836 (±14.1%) 1153.16 (±19.0%)
55
Marengo, Alabama
27 (±0.9%) 7.39 (±3.8%) 46.699 (±1.4%) 183.00 (±0.6%)
54
Clay, Alabama
330612 (±259.5%) 6.52 (±3.0%) 206.461 (±13.9%) 1172.64 (±19.0%)
53
Telfair, Georgia
41 (±1.8%) 8.96 (±6.3%) 49.482 (±1.7%) 256.34 (±0.7%)
52
Tehama, California
53 (±4.3%) 4.57 (±5.2%) 43.219 (±2.8%) 320.95 (±0.8%)
51
Lowndes, Alabama
29 (±0.6%) 7.88 (±2.9%) 29.805 (±1.9%) 151.84 (±0.6%)
50
Randolph, Arkansas
39 (±2.6%) 6.14 (±4.9%) 40.825 (±3.3%) 252.14 (±0.8%)
49
Bleckley, Georgia
36 (±1.5%) 2.49 (±50.7%) 38.340 (±2.3%) 244.34 (±0.5%)
48
Cross, Arkansas
39 (±2.6%) 4.97 (±10.3%) 42.056 (±2.6%) 280.94 (±0.6%)
47
Fulton, Arkansas
90878 (±768.8%) 6.14 (±12.0%) 158.906 (±47.8%) 920.16 (±60.2%)
46
Clay, Arkansas
2296 (±56.3%) 5.53 (±12.6%) 144.775 (±6.5%) 732.11 (±8.2%)
45
Brooks, Georgia
34 (±1.4%) 1.43 (±70.4%) 49.154 (±2.0%) 185.02 (±0.9%)
44
Macon, Alabama
26 (±1.8%) 6.57 (±3.2%) 46.161 (±2.6%) 198.37 (±1.1%)
43
Lincoln, Arkansas
34 (±10.0%) 2.82 (±5.2%) 94.208 (±7.4%) 228.95 (±9.9%)
42
Taylor, Florida
28 (±1.8%) 1.66 (±31.3%) 44.878 (±1.9%) 261.79 (±0.5%)
41
Lake, California
24 (±1.3%) 3.66 (±19.9%) 37.333 (±1.7%) 265.90 (±0.3%)
40
Chicot, Arkansas
1437988 (±1485.5%) 3.84 (±3.6%) 298.637 (±69.0%) 1684.95 (±99.8%)
39
Monroe, Alabama
6 (±4.1%) fiterr (±err) 5.000 (±4892592855.5%) 13.00 (±125449658055.5%)
38
Arkansas, Arkansas
35 (±3.1%) 6.77 (±5.1%) 42.353 (±2.8%) 293.59 (±0.7%)
37
Clark, Arkansas
754919 (±593.2%) fiterr (±err) 194.925 (±27.2%) 1153.16 (±36.7%)
36
Bullock, Alabama
21 (±2.0%) 6.39 (±4.3%) 48.079 (±3.2%) 182.86 (±1.2%)
35
Washington, Alabama
41 (±17.7%) 3.49 (±13.5%) 87.311 (±9.2%) 295.95 (±10.1%)
34
Miller, Arkansas
32 (±3.0%) fiterr (±err) 50.164 (±2.6%) 270.44 (±1.0%)
33
Ashley, Arkansas
26 (±5.3%) 3.62 (±19.7%) 60.018 (±3.8%) 275.33 (±2.1%)
32
Greene, Alabama
19 (±0.9%) 10.50 (±3.7%) 43.124 (±1.7%) 182.20 (±0.6%)
31
Sumter, Alabama
22 (±0.6%) 7.28 (±2.1%) 33.880 (±1.5%) 159.51 (±0.5%)
30
Marion, Arkansas
173985 (±635.6%) 4.70 (±14.8%) 113.922 (±34.2%) 739.18 (±37.8%)
29
Montgomery, Arkansas
108 (±58.8%) 10.32 (±4.2%) 96.941 (±14.3%) 463.08 (±14.2%)
28
Alamosa, Colorado
11428 (±480.8%) 8.84 (±2.8%) 232.484 (±38.9%) 1180.26 (±55.2%)
27
Perry, Alabama
9 (±5.5%) 1.77 (±56.3%) 52.793 (±7.4%) 219.81 (±2.3%)
26
Newton, Arkansas
23 (±1.0%) 3.75 (±37.0%) 27.274 (±3.2%) 224.03 (±0.4%)
25
Wilcox, Alabama
74 (±46.9%) 5.00 (±5.6%) 129.719 (±15.5%) 440.86 (±22.5%)
24
Choctaw, Alabama
14 (±1.6%) 7.59 (±3.3%) 16.135 (±10.0%) 143.53 (±1.4%)
23
Cleveland, Arkansas
15 (±1.1%) 3.33 (±54.9%) 27.885 (±2.5%) 247.25 (±0.3%)
22
Evans, Georgia
19 (±7.2%) 3.44 (±11.8%) 51.210 (±6.1%) 279.74 (±2.2%)
21
Lincoln, Georgia
12 (±2.3%) fiterr (±err) 43.969 (±3.1%) 227.34 (±1.0%)
20
Eagle, Colorado
12 (±3.2%) 2.21 (±3.6%) 59.652 (±6.9%) 62.95 (±13.0%)
19
Routt, Colorado
7773 (±720.4%) 7.23 (±16.8%) 283.241 (±61.4%) 1391.62 (±90.2%)
18
Swift, Minnesota
20 (±6.8%) 3.91 (±50.0%) 29.421 (±5.6%) 331.33 (±0.7%)
17
Crittenden, Kentucky
16242 (±2871.3%) 7.57 (±66.9%) 358.502 (±166.7%) 1907.80 (±245.9%)

For countries in this list, the number of dead people must be at minimum 13 people. In the list of numbers of a country, there must be at least 7 different numbers. The turning point is guessed by using half the maximum number and then looks for the first value above that value. If the turning point is at the last value, the fit is omitted.

Locations or countries with not enough data points or other reasons are skipped and can be found in this list.


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