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COVID-19 Regional Skipped Fits of Dead People

excluded from fitting by insufficient data

Jens Röder

5 minutes read

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For a fit we need a sufficient amount of good data points, otherwise the fit will not stabilize. If the number is below 13, the min13-filter will skip those data sets. Quite often we see some few cases and then a long period no new infections. We might meet the min 13 criteria, but the data are by shape of the curve insufficient to be fitted. Here the min7step-filter skips those who do not have 7 subsequent data steps. And also those are skipped, which`s sum of all death numbers is less then 2.05 the last number, named max-sum-filter. Finally, there is a manual exclusion list for those data sets, that wont stabilize after manual intervention. During the automatic fitting most difficult data set are excluded and will be included, once sufficient more data are available.


Acualisation date: Thu Apr 15 04:18:07 UTC 2021

location ID, reason why fit was skipped,
Anguilla, United Kingdom 271 min13-filter
Anhui, China 76 min13-filter
Antigua and Barbuda 23 manually skipped
Australian Capital Territory, Australia 26 min13-filter
Beijing, China 77 min13-filter
Bermuda, United Kingdom 272 min7step-filter
Bhutan 44 min13-filter
Bonaire - Sint Eustatius and Saba, Netherlands 210 min13-filter
British Columbia, Canada 58 manually skipped
British Virgin Islands, United Kingdom 273 min13-filter
Brunei 49 min13-filter
Burma 52 manually skipped
Burundi 53 min13-filter
Cayman Islands, United Kingdom 274 min13-filter
Chile 75 manually skipped
China total, China total 3 manually skipped
Chongqing, China 78 min13-filter
Comoros 110 manually skipped
Cote d’Ivoire 114 manually skipped
Croatia 115 manually skipped
Cuba 116 manually skipped
Curacao, Netherlands 211 manually skipped
Czechia 118 manually skipped
Diamond Princess, Canada 59 min13-filter
Diamond Princess 122 min7step-filter
Dominica 124 min13-filter
East Asia, East Asia 11 manually skipped
El Salvador 128 manually skipped
Eritrea 130 min13-filter
Estonia 131 manually skipped
Eswatini 132 manually skipped
Europe, Europe 5 manually skipped
Falkland Islands (Malvinas), United Kingdom 276 manually skipped
Faroe Islands, Denmark 119 min13-filter
Fiji 134 min13-filter
Finland 135 manually skipped
France 147 manually skipped
French Guiana, France 136 manually skipped
Fujian, China 79 min13-filter
Gabon 148 manually skipped
Gambia 149 manually skipped
Gansu, China 80 min13-filter
Germany 151 manually skipped
Ghana 152 manually skipped
Gibraltar, United Kingdom 277 manually skipped
Grand Princess, Canada 60 min13-filter
Greece 153 manually skipped
Greenland, Denmark 120 min13-filter
Grenada 154 manually skipped
Guangdong, China 81 min13-filter
Guangxi, China 82 min13-filter
Guizhou, China 83 min13-filter
Hainan, China 84 min13-filter
Haiti 159 manually skipped
Hebei, China 85 min13-filter
Heilongjiang, China 86 min7step-filter
Holy See 160 min13-filter
Honduras 161 manually skipped
Hong Kong, China 88 manually skipped
Hubei, China 89 manually skipped
Hunan, China 90 min13-filter
Hungary 162 manually skipped
Iceland 163 manually skipped
India 164 manually skipped
Indonesia 165 manually skipped
Inner Mongolia, China 91 min13-filter
Iran 166 manually skipped
Iraq 167 manually skipped
Isle of Man, United Kingdom 278 manually skipped
Israel 169 manually skipped
Italy 170 manually skipped
Japan 172 manually skipped
Jiangsu, China 92 min13-filter
Jiangxi, China 93 min13-filter
Jilin, China 94 min13-filter
Jordan 173 manually skipped
Korea - South 176 manually skipped
Kuwait 178 manually skipped
Kyrgyzstan 179 manually skipped
Laos 180 min13-filter
Latvia 181 manually skipped
Lesotho 183 manually skipped
Liaoning, China 95 min13-filter
Libya 185 manually skipped
Liechtenstein 186 manually skipped
Lithuania 187 manually skipped
Macau, China 96 min13-filter
Madagascar 190 manually skipped
Malawi 191 manually skipped
Mali 194 manually skipped
Manitoba, Canada 61 manually skipped
Marshall Islands 196 min13-filter
Mauritania 197 manually skipped
Mauritius 198 manually skipped
Mexico 199 manually skipped
Micronesia 200 min13-filter
Mongolia 203 manually skipped
Montenegro 204 manually skipped
Montserrat, United Kingdom 279 manually skipped
MS Zaandam 189 min13-filter
Namibia 207 manually skipped
Nepal 208 manually skipped
Netherlands 213 manually skipped
New Caledonia, France 141 min13-filter
Newfoundland and Labrador, Canada 63 min13-filter
New Zealand 214 manually skipped
Nicaragua 215 manually skipped
Nigeria 217 manually skipped
Niger 216 manually skipped
Ningxia, China 97 min13-filter
Northern Territory, Australia 28 min13-filter
North Macedonia 218 manually skipped
Northwest Territories, Canada 64 min13-filter
Nunavut, Canada 66 min13-filter
Ontario, Canada 67 manually skipped
Papua New Guinea 223 manually skipped
Peru 225 manually skipped
Philippines 226 manually skipped
Poland 227 manually skipped
Portugal 228 manually skipped
Prince Edward Island, Canada 68 min13-filter
Qatar 229 manually skipped
Qinghai, China 98 min13-filter
Quebec, Canada 69 manually skipped
Queensland, Australia 29 min13-filter
Repatriated Travellers, Canada 70 min13-filter
Romania 230 manually skipped
Russia 231 manually skipped
Saint Barthelemy, France 143 min13-filter
Saint Helena - Ascension and Tristan da Cunha, United Kingdom 280 manually skipped
Saint Kitts and Nevis 233 min13-filter
Saint Lucia 234 manually skipped
Saint Pierre and Miquelon, France 144 min13-filter
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines 235 min13-filter
Samoa 236 min13-filter
San Marino 237 manually skipped
Saskatchewan, Canada 71 manually skipped
Saudi Arabia 239 manually skipped
Senegal 240 manually skipped
Serbia 241 manually skipped
Seychelles 242 manually skipped
Shaanxi, China 99 min13-filter
Shandong, China 100 min13-filter
Shanghai, China 101 min13-filter
Shanxi, China 102 min13-filter
Sichuan, China 103 min13-filter
Sint Maarten, Netherlands 212 manually skipped
Slovakia 245 manually skipped
Slovenia 246 manually skipped
Solomon Islands 247 manually skipped
Somalia 248 manually skipped
South Australia, Australia 30 min13-filter
South-East Asia, South-East Asia 10 manually skipped
South Sudan 250 manually skipped
Spain 251 manually skipped
Sri Lanka 252 manually skipped
St Martin, France 145 min13-filter
Sudan 253 manually skipped
Suriname 254 manually skipped
Sweden 255 manually skipped
Switzerland 256 manually skipped
Syria 257 manually skipped
Taiwan 258 manually skipped
Tajikistan 259 manually skipped
Tanzania 260 min7step-filter
Tasmania, Australia 31 min7step-filter
Thailand 261 manually skipped
Tianjin, China 104 min13-filter
Tibet, China 105 min13-filter
Timor-Leste 262 min13-filter
Turkey 266 manually skipped
Turks and Caicos Islands, United Kingdom 281 manually skipped
United Kingdom 282 manually skipped
Uruguay 283 manually skipped
USA, USA 15 manually skipped
US 267 manually skipped
Uzbekistan 284 manually skipped
Vanuatu 285 manually skipped
Venezuela 286 manually skipped
Victoria, Australia 32 manually skipped
Vietnam 287 manually skipped
Wallis and Futuna, France 146 manually skipped
West Bank and Gaza 288 manually skipped
Western Australia, Australia 33 min13-filter
World total, World total 2 manually skipped
World without China, World without China 4 manually skipped
Xinjiang, China 106 min13-filter
Yemen 289 manually skipped
Yukon, Canada 72 min13-filter
Yunnan, China 107 min13-filter
Zambia 290 manually skipped
Zhejiang, China 108 min13-filter
Zimbabwe 291 manually skipped

For countries in this list, data are insufficiant for a good fit.

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