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COVID-19 Regional Skipped Fits of Dead People

excluded from fitting by insufficient data

Jens Röder

4 minutes read

For successful fits, follow this link.

For a fit we need a sufficient amount of good data points, otherwise the fit will not stabilize. If the number is below 13, the min13-filter will skip those data sets. Quite often we see some few cases and then a long period no new infections. We might meet the min 13 criteria, but the data are by shape of the curve insufficient to be fitted. Here the min7step-filter skips those who do not have 7 subsequent data steps. And also those are skipped, which`s sum of all death numbers is less then 2.05 the last number, named max-sum-filter. Finally, there is a manual exclusion list for those data sets, that wont stabilize after manual intervention. During the automatic fitting most difficult data set are excluded and will be included, once sufficient more data are available.


Acualisation date: Sat Jul 11 04:15:12 UTC 2020

location ID, reason why fit was skipped,
Angola 22 manually skipped
Anguilla, United Kingdom 266 min13-filter
Anhui, China 67 min13-filter
Antigua and Barbuda 23 min13-filter
Aruba, Netherlands 184 min13-filter
Australian Capital Territory, Australia 26 min13-filter
Bahamas 36 min13-filter
Barbados 39 min13-filter
Beijing, China 68 min13-filter
Belize 255 min13-filter
Bermuda, United Kingdom 235 min13-filter
Bhutan 43 min13-filter
Bonaire - Sint Eustatius and Saba, Netherlands 273 min13-filter
Botswana 270 min13-filter
British Virgin Islands, United Kingdom 267 min13-filter
Brunei 47 min13-filter
Burma 265 min13-filter
Burundi 271 min13-filter
Cabo Verde 50 min7step-filter
Cambodia 51 min13-filter
Cayman Islands, United Kingdom 236 min13-filter
Chongqing, China 69 min13-filter
Comoros 281 min13-filter
Curacao, Netherlands 185 min13-filter
Diamond Princess, Canada 249 min13-filter
Diamond Princess 106 min7step-filter
Dominica 250 min13-filter
Equatorial Guinea 118 min7step-filter
Eritrea 119 min13-filter
Eswatini 121 min7step-filter
Falkland Islands (Malvinas), United Kingdom 275 min13-filter
Faroe Islands, Denmark 110 min13-filter
Fiji 123 min13-filter
French Polynesia, France 126 min13-filter
Fujian, China 70 min13-filter
Gambia 136 min13-filter
Gansu, China 71 min13-filter
Georgia 137 min7step-filter
Gibraltar, United Kingdom 238 min13-filter
Grand Princess, Canada 55 min13-filter
Greenland, Denmark 111 min13-filter
Grenada 251 min13-filter
Guadeloupe, France 127 min7step-filter
Guangdong, China 72 min13-filter
Guangxi, China 73 min13-filter
Guinea-Bissau 259 min7step-filter
Guizhou, China 74 min13-filter
Guyana 143 min7step-filter
Hainan, China 75 min13-filter
Hebei, China 76 min13-filter
Heilongjiang, China 77 min7step-filter
Holy See 145 min13-filter
Hong Kong, China 79 min13-filter
Hunan, China 81 min13-filter
Iceland 148 min13-filter
Inner Mongolia, China 82 min13-filter
Jamaica 156 min13-filter
Jiangsu, China 83 min13-filter
Jiangxi, China 84 min13-filter
Jilin, China 85 min13-filter
Jordan 158 min13-filter
Laos 256 min13-filter
Lesotho 283 min13-filter
Liaoning, China 86 min13-filter
Liechtenstein 167 min13-filter
Macau, China 87 min13-filter
Maldives 172 min7step-filter
Malta 173 min13-filter
Manitoba, Canada 56 min13-filter
Martinique, France 133 min7step-filter
Mauritius 175 min13-filter
Monaco 178 min13-filter
Mongolia 179 min13-filter
Montenegro 180 min7step-filter
Montserrat, United Kingdom 240 min13-filter
Mozambique 252 min13-filter
MS Zaandam 269 min13-filter
Namibia 182 min13-filter
New Brunswick, Canada 57 min13-filter
New Caledonia, France 129 min13-filter
Newfoundland and Labrador, Canada 58 min13-filter
Ningxia, China 88 min13-filter
Northern Territory, Australia 28 min13-filter
Northwest Territories, Canada 262 min13-filter
Papua New Guinea 197 min13-filter
Prince Edward Island, Canada 61 min13-filter
Qinghai, China 89 min13-filter
Queensland, Australia 29 min13-filter
Reunion, France 130 min13-filter
Rwanda 206 min13-filter
Saint Barthelemy, France 131 min13-filter
Saint Kitts and Nevis 261 min13-filter
Saint Lucia 207 min13-filter
Saint Pierre and Miquelon, France 276 min13-filter
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines 208 min13-filter
Sao Tome and Principe 279 min7step-filter
Saskatchewan, Canada 63 min7step-filter
Seychelles 213 min13-filter
Shaanxi, China 90 min13-filter
Shandong, China 91 min13-filter
Shanghai, China 92 min13-filter
Shanxi, China 93 min13-filter
Sichuan, China 94 min13-filter
Sint Maarten, Netherlands 186 min7step-filter
South Australia, Australia 30 min13-filter
Sri Lanka 220 min13-filter
St Martin, France 132 min13-filter
Suriname 222 manually skipped
Syria 253 min7step-filter
Taiwan 225 min13-filter
Tanzania 226 min7step-filter
Tasmania, Australia 31 min7step-filter
Tianjin, China 95 min13-filter
Tibet, China 96 min13-filter
Timor-Leste 254 min13-filter
Togo 228 min7step-filter
Trinidad and Tobago 229 min13-filter
Turks and Caicos Islands, United Kingdom 268 min13-filter
Uganda 232 min13-filter
Vietnam 246 min13-filter
West Bank and Gaza 258 manually skipped
Western Australia, Australia 33 min13-filter
Western Sahara 278 min13-filter
Xinjiang, China 97 min13-filter
Yukon, Canada 263 min13-filter
Yunnan, China 98 min13-filter
Zambia 247 min7step-filter
Zhejiang, China 99 min13-filter
Zimbabwe 248 min13-filter

For countries in this list, data are insufficiant for a good fit.

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