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COVID-19 Regional Skipped Fits of Dead People

excluded from fitting by insufficient data

Jens Röder

5 minutes read

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For a fit we need a sufficient amount of good data points, otherwise the fit will not stabilize. If the number is below 13, the min13-filter will skip those data sets. Quite often we see some few cases and then a long period no new infections. We might meet the min 13 criteria, but the data are by shape of the curve insufficient to be fitted. Here the min7step-filter skips those who do not have 7 subsequent data steps. And also those are skipped, which`s sum of all death numbers is less then 2.05 the last number, named max-sum-filter. Finally, there is a manual exclusion list for those data sets, that wont stabilize after manual intervention. During the automatic fitting most difficult data set are excluded and will be included, once sufficient more data are available.


Acualisation date: Sun Jan 17 05:16:37 UTC 2021

location ID, reason why fit was skipped,
Anguilla, United Kingdom 270 min13-filter
Anhui, China 76 min13-filter
Antigua and Barbuda 23 min13-filter
Australian Capital Territory, Australia 26 min13-filter
Barbados 39 min13-filter
Beijing, China 77 min13-filter
Bermuda, United Kingdom 271 min13-filter
Bhutan 44 min13-filter
Bonaire - Sint Eustatius and Saba, Netherlands 209 min13-filter
British Virgin Islands, United Kingdom 272 min13-filter
Brunei 49 min13-filter
Burma 52 manually skipped
Burundi 53 min13-filter
Cambodia 55 min13-filter
Cayman Islands, United Kingdom 273 min13-filter
Chile 75 manually skipped
Chongqing, China 78 min13-filter
Cote d’Ivoire 114 manually skipped
Croatia 115 manually skipped
Cuba 116 manually skipped
Czechia 118 manually skipped
Diamond Princess, Canada 59 min13-filter
Diamond Princess 122 min7step-filter
Dominica 124 min13-filter
El Salvador 128 manually skipped
Equatorial Guinea 129 min7step-filter
Eritrea 130 min13-filter
Estonia 131 manually skipped
Eswatini 132 manually skipped
Falkland Islands (Malvinas), United Kingdom 275 min13-filter
Faroe Islands, Denmark 119 min13-filter
Fiji 134 min13-filter
Finland 135 manually skipped
France 147 manually skipped
French Guiana, France 136 manually skipped
Fujian, China 79 min13-filter
Gabon 148 manually skipped
Gambia 149 manually skipped
Gansu, China 80 min13-filter
Germany 151 manually skipped
Ghana 152 manually skipped
Gibraltar, United Kingdom 276 manually skipped
Grand Princess, Canada 60 min13-filter
Greece 153 manually skipped
Greenland, Denmark 120 min13-filter
Grenada 154 manually skipped
Guangdong, China 81 min13-filter
Guangxi, China 82 min13-filter
Guizhou, China 83 min13-filter
Hainan, China 84 min13-filter
Hebei, China 85 min13-filter
Heilongjiang, China 86 min7step-filter
Holy See 160 min13-filter
Honduras 161 manually skipped
Hong Kong, China 88 manually skipped
Hunan, China 90 min13-filter
Hungary 162 manually skipped
Iceland 163 manually skipped
India 164 manually skipped
Indonesia 165 manually skipped
Inner Mongolia, China 91 min13-filter
Iran 166 manually skipped
Iraq 167 manually skipped
Isle of Man, United Kingdom 277 manually skipped
Israel 169 manually skipped
Italy 170 manually skipped
Japan 172 manually skipped
Jiangsu, China 92 min13-filter
Jiangxi, China 93 min13-filter
Jilin, China 94 min13-filter
Jordan 173 manually skipped
Kuwait 178 manually skipped
Kyrgyzstan 179 manually skipped
Laos 180 min13-filter
Liaoning, China 95 min13-filter
Libya 185 manually skipped
Liechtenstein 186 manually skipped
Macau, China 96 min13-filter
Madagascar 190 manually skipped
Malawi 191 manually skipped
Mali 194 manually skipped
Marshall Islands 196 min13-filter
Mauritania 197 manually skipped
Mauritius 198 manually skipped
Mexico 199 manually skipped
Monaco 201 min13-filter
Mongolia 202 min13-filter
Montenegro 203 manually skipped
Montserrat, United Kingdom 278 min13-filter
Morocco 204 manually skipped
MS Zaandam 189 min13-filter
Netherlands 212 manually skipped
New Brunswick, Canada 62 min13-filter
New Caledonia, France 141 min13-filter
Newfoundland and Labrador, Canada 63 min13-filter
Nicaragua 214 manually skipped
Nigeria 216 manually skipped
Ningxia, China 97 min13-filter
Northern Territory, Australia 28 min13-filter
North Macedonia 217 manually skipped
Northwest Territories, Canada 64 min13-filter
Nunavut, Canada 66 min13-filter
Ontario, Canada 67 manually skipped
Papua New Guinea 222 min13-filter
Paraguay 223 manually skipped
Philippines 225 manually skipped
Portugal 227 manually skipped
Prince Edward Island, Canada 68 min13-filter
Qinghai, China 98 min13-filter
Quebec, Canada 69 manually skipped
Queensland, Australia 29 min13-filter
Repatriated Travellers, Canada 70 min13-filter
Romania 229 manually skipped
Russia 230 manually skipped
Saint Barthelemy, France 143 min13-filter
Saint Kitts and Nevis 232 min13-filter
Saint Lucia 233 min13-filter
Saint Pierre and Miquelon, France 144 min13-filter
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines 234 min13-filter
Samoa 235 min13-filter
Sao Tome and Principe 237 manually skipped
Saskatchewan, Canada 71 manually skipped
Senegal 239 manually skipped
Seychelles 241 manually skipped
Shaanxi, China 99 min13-filter
Shandong, China 100 min13-filter
Shanghai, China 101 min13-filter
Shanxi, China 102 min13-filter
Sichuan, China 103 min13-filter
Sint Maarten, Netherlands 211 manually skipped
Slovenia 245 manually skipped
Solomon Islands 246 min13-filter
Somalia 247 manually skipped
South Africa 248 manually skipped
South Australia, Australia 30 min13-filter
Spain 250 manually skipped
Sri Lanka 251 manually skipped
St Martin, France 145 min13-filter
Sudan 252 manually skipped
Sweden 254 manually skipped
Taiwan 257 manually skipped
Tajikistan 258 manually skipped
Tanzania 259 min7step-filter
Tasmania, Australia 31 min7step-filter
Tianjin, China 104 min13-filter
Tibet, China 105 min13-filter
Timor-Leste 261 min13-filter
Turks and Caicos Islands, United Kingdom 279 manually skipped
United Kingdom 280 manually skipped
Uruguay 281 manually skipped
US 266 manually skipped
Vanuatu 283 manually skipped
Venezuela 284 manually skipped
Victoria, Australia 32 manually skipped
Vietnam 285 manually skipped
Wallis and Futuna, France 146 manually skipped
Western Australia, Australia 33 min13-filter
Xinjiang, China 106 min13-filter
Yemen 287 manually skipped
Yukon, Canada 72 min13-filter
Yunnan, China 107 min13-filter
Zambia 288 manually skipped
Zhejiang, China 108 min13-filter
Zimbabwe 289 manually skipped

For countries in this list, data are insufficiant for a good fit.

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