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COVID-19 Regional Skipped Fits of Dead People

excluded from fitting by insufficient data

Jens Röder

3 minutes read

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For a fit we need a sufficient amount of good data points, otherwise the fit will not stabilize. If the number is below 13, the min13-filter will skip those data sets. Quite often we see some few cases and then a long period no new infections. We might meet the min 13 criteria, but the data are by shape of the curve insufficient to be fitted. Here the min7step-filter skips those who do not have 7 subsequent data steps. And also those are skipped, which`s sum of all death numbers is less then 2.05 the last number, named max-sum-filter. Finally, there is a manual exclusion list for those data sets, that wont stabilize after manual intervention. During the automatic fitting most difficult data set are excluded and will be included, once sufficient more data are available.

Acualisation date: Sun Oct 25 05:16:32 UTC 2020

location ID, reason why fit was skipped,
Anguilla, United Kingdom 265 min13-filter
Anhui, China 74 min13-filter
Antigua and Barbuda 23 min13-filter
Aruba, Netherlands 204 manually skipped
Australian Capital Territory, Australia 26 min13-filter
Barbados 39 min13-filter
Beijing, China 75 min13-filter
Bermuda, United Kingdom 266 min13-filter
Bhutan 44 min13-filter
Bonaire - Sint Eustatius and Saba, Netherlands 205 min13-filter
Botswana 47 min7step-filter
British Virgin Islands, United Kingdom 267 min13-filter
Brunei 49 min13-filter
Burma 52 manually skipped
Burundi 53 min13-filter
Cambodia 55 min13-filter
Cayman Islands, United Kingdom 268 min13-filter
Chongqing, China 76 min13-filter
Comoros 108 min13-filter
Curacao, Netherlands 206 min13-filter
Diamond Princess, Canada 59 min13-filter
Diamond Princess 120 min7step-filter
Dominica 122 min13-filter
Equatorial Guinea 127 min7step-filter
Eritrea 128 min13-filter
Falkland Islands (Malvinas), United Kingdom 270 min13-filter
Faroe Islands, Denmark 117 min13-filter
Fiji 132 min13-filter
French Polynesia, France 135 min7step-filter
Fujian, China 77 min13-filter
Gambia 146 manually skipped
Gansu, China 78 min13-filter
Gibraltar, United Kingdom 271 min13-filter
Grand Princess, Canada 60 min13-filter
Greenland, Denmark 118 min13-filter
Grenada 151 min13-filter
Guangdong, China 79 min13-filter
Guangxi, China 80 min13-filter
Guizhou, China 81 min13-filter
Hainan, China 82 min13-filter
Hebei, China 83 min13-filter
Heilongjiang, China 84 min7step-filter
Holy See 157 min13-filter
Hong Kong, China 86 manually skipped
Hunan, China 88 min13-filter
Iceland 160 min13-filter
Inner Mongolia, China 89 min13-filter
Jiangsu, China 90 min13-filter
Jiangxi, China 91 min13-filter
Jilin, China 92 min13-filter
Laos 177 min13-filter
Liaoning, China 93 min13-filter
Liechtenstein 183 min13-filter
Macau, China 94 min13-filter
Mauritius 194 min13-filter
Monaco 197 min13-filter
Mongolia 198 min13-filter
Montserrat, United Kingdom 273 min13-filter
MS Zaandam 186 min13-filter
New Brunswick, Canada 62 min13-filter
New Caledonia, France 139 min13-filter
Newfoundland and Labrador, Canada 63 min13-filter
Ningxia, China 95 min13-filter
Northern Territory, Australia 28 min13-filter
Northwest Territories, Canada 64 min13-filter
Papua New Guinea 218 min13-filter
Prince Edward Island, Canada 67 min13-filter
Qinghai, China 96 min13-filter
Queensland, Australia 29 min13-filter
Saint Barthelemy, France 141 min13-filter
Saint Kitts and Nevis 228 min13-filter
Saint Lucia 229 min13-filter
Saint Pierre and Miquelon, France 142 min13-filter
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines 230 min13-filter
Sao Tome and Principe 232 min7step-filter
Seychelles 236 min13-filter
Shaanxi, China 97 min13-filter
Shandong, China 98 min13-filter
Shanghai, China 99 min13-filter
Shanxi, China 100 min13-filter
Sichuan, China 101 min13-filter
Solomon Islands 241 min13-filter
South Australia, Australia 30 min13-filter
Sri Lanka 246 min7step-filter
St Martin, France 143 min13-filter
Switzerland 250 manually skipped
Taiwan 252 min13-filter
Tanzania 254 min7step-filter
Tasmania, Australia 31 min7step-filter
Tianjin, China 102 min13-filter
Tibet, China 103 min13-filter
Timor-Leste 256 min13-filter
Togo 257 manually skipped
Trinidad and Tobago 258 manually skipped
Turks and Caicos Islands, United Kingdom 274 min13-filter
Victoria, Australia 32 manually skipped
Western Australia, Australia 33 min13-filter
Western Sahara 281 min13-filter
Xinjiang, China 104 min13-filter
Yukon, Canada 70 min13-filter
Yunnan, China 105 min13-filter
Zhejiang, China 106 min13-filter
Zimbabwe 284 manually skipped

For countries in this list, data are insufficiant for a good fit.

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