Labor am Elm

Elm Laboratory

Consulting and Research

COVID-19 Regional Skipped Fits of Infected People

excluded from fitting by insufficient data

Jens Röder

6 minutes read

For successful fits, follow this link.

For a fit we need a sufficient amount of good data points, otherwise the fit will not stabilize. If the number is below 13, the min13-filter will skip those data sets. Quite often we see some few cases and then a long period no new infections. We might meet the min 13 criteria, but the data are by shape of the curve insufficient to be fitted. Here the min7step-filter skips those who do not have 7 subsequent data steps. And also those are skipped, which`s sum of all infected numbers is less then 2.05 the last number, named max-sum-filter. Finally, there is a manual exclusion list for those data sets, that wont stabilize after manual intervention. During the automatic fitting most difficult data set are excluded and will be included, once sufficient more data are available.


Acualisation date: Thu May 13 04:21:16 UTC 2021

location ID, reason why fit was skipped,
Alberta, Canada 57 manually skipped
Andorra 21 manually skipped
Anguilla, United Kingdom 272 no-pre-fit-values-filter
Aruba, Netherlands 210 manually skipped
Austria 34 manually skipped
Azerbaijan 35 manually skipped
Barbados 39 manually skipped
Beijing, China 77 manually skipped
Belgium 41 manually skipped
Bermuda, United Kingdom 273 manually skipped
Bonaire - Sint Eustatius and Saba, Netherlands 211 manually skipped
Bosnia and Herzegovina 46 no-pre-fit-values-filter
British Columbia, Canada 58 manually skipped
British Virgin Islands, United Kingdom 274 manually skipped
Bulgaria 50 manually skipped
Burma 52 manually skipped
Canada, Canada 16 no-pre-fit-values-filter
Cayman Islands, United Kingdom 275 manually skipped
Chad 74 manually skipped
Channel Islands, United Kingdom 276 manually skipped
Chile 75 manually skipped
China total, China total 3 manually skipped
Chongqing, China 78 manually skipped
Colombia 110 manually skipped
Comoros 111 manually skipped
Costa Rica 114 manually skipped
Cote d’Ivoire 115 manually skipped
Croatia 116 manually skipped
Cuba 117 manually skipped
Curacao, Netherlands 212 manually skipped
Cyprus 118 manually skipped
Czechia 119 manually skipped
Denmark 122 no-pre-fit-values-filter
Diamond Princess, Canada 59 min13-filter
Diamond Princess 123 no-pre-fit-values-filter
Djibouti 124 no-pre-fit-values-filter
Dominica 125 no-pre-fit-values-filter
Egypt 128 manually skipped
El Salvador 129 no-pre-fit-values-filter
Equatorial Guinea 130 no-pre-fit-values-filter
Estonia 132 manually skipped
Eswatini 133 manually skipped
Ethiopia 134 no-pre-fit-values-filter
Falkland Islands (Malvinas), United Kingdom 277 no-pre-fit-values-filter
Fiji 135 manually skipped
Finland 136 manually skipped
France 148 manually skipped
French Guiana, France 137 manually skipped
French Polynesia, France 138 manually skipped
Fujian, China 79 manually skipped
Gabon 149 manually skipped
Gambia 150 manually skipped
Gansu, China 80 manually skipped
Georgia 151 manually skipped
Germany 152 no-pre-fit-values-filter
Ghana 153 manually skipped
Gibraltar, United Kingdom 278 no-pre-fit-values-filter
Grand Princess, Canada 60 min7step-filter
Greece 154 manually skipped
Greenland, Denmark 121 manually skipped
Grenada 155 no-pre-fit-values-filter
Guadeloupe, France 139 manually skipped
Guangdong, China 81 manually skipped
Guatemala 156 manually skipped
Guinea 157 no-pre-fit-values-filter
Guyana 159 manually skipped
Hainan, China 84 manually skipped
Haiti 160 manually skipped
Hebei, China 85 manually skipped
Heilongjiang, China 86 manually skipped
Henan, China 87 manually skipped
Holy See 161 min7step-filter
Honduras 162 manually skipped
Hong Kong, China 88 manually skipped
Hubei, China 89 manually skipped
Hunan, China 90 manually skipped
Hungary 163 manually skipped
Iceland 164 manually skipped
India 165 manually skipped
Indonesia 166 manually skipped
Iran 167 manually skipped
Iraq 168 manually skipped
Ireland 169 manually skipped
Isle of Man, United Kingdom 279 manually skipped
Israel 170 manually skipped
Italy 171 manually skipped
Jamaica 172 manually skipped
Japan 173 manually skipped
Jiangsu, China 92 manually skipped
Jiangxi, China 93 manually skipped
Jilin, China 94 manually skipped
Jordan 174 manually skipped
Kazakhstan 175 no-pre-fit-values-filter
Kenya 176 manually skipped
Korea - South 177 manually skipped
Kosovo 178 no-pre-fit-values-filter
Kuwait 179 manually skipped
Kyrgyzstan 180 manually skipped
Laos 181 no-pre-fit-values-filter
Latvia 182 manually skipped
Lebanon 183 manually skipped
Lesotho 184 manually skipped
Liberia 185 manually skipped
Libya 186 manually skipped
Liechtenstein 187 no-pre-fit-values-filter
Lithuania 188 no-pre-fit-values-filter
Madagascar 191 no-pre-fit-values-filter
Malawi 192 manually skipped
Malaysia 193 manually skipped
Maldives 194 manually skipped
Mali 195 manually skipped
Malta 196 manually skipped
Manitoba, Canada 61 manually skipped
Marshall Islands 197 manually skipped
Martinique, France 140 manually skipped
Mauritania 198 manually skipped
Mauritius 199 manually skipped
Mayotte, France 141 no-pre-fit-values-filter
Mexico 200 no-pre-fit-values-filter
Micronesia 201 manually skipped
Moldova 202 manually skipped
Monaco 203 manually skipped
Mongolia 204 manually skipped
Montenegro 205 manually skipped
Montserrat, United Kingdom 280 manually skipped
Morocco 206 manually skipped
Mozambique 207 manually skipped
MS Zaandam 190 manually skipped
Namibia 208 manually skipped
Nepal 209 manually skipped
Netherlands 214 manually skipped
New Brunswick, Canada 62 manually skipped
New Caledonia, France 142 manually skipped
New Zealand 215 manually skipped
Nicaragua 216 no-pre-fit-values-filter
Nigeria 218 manually skipped
Niger 217 manually skipped
North Macedonia 219 manually skipped
Northwest Territories, Canada 64 no-pre-fit-values-filter
Norway 220 manually skipped
Oman 221 manually skipped
Ontario, Canada 67 manually skipped
Pakistan 222 manually skipped
Panama 223 manually skipped
Papua New Guinea 224 manually skipped
Paraguay 225 manually skipped
Peru 226 no-pre-fit-values-filter
Philippines 227 manually skipped
Poland 228 manually skipped
Portugal 229 manually skipped
Prince Edward Island, Canada 68 manually skipped
Qatar 230 no-pre-fit-values-filter
Qinghai, China 98 manually skipped
Quebec, Canada 69 manually skipped
Queensland, Australia 29 manually skipped
Repatriated Travellers, Canada 70 manually skipped
Reunion, France 143 no-pre-fit-values-filter
Romania 231 manually skipped
Russia 232 manually skipped
Rwanda 233 manually skipped
Saint Helena - Ascension and Tristan da Cunha, United Kingdom 281 manually skipped
Saint Kitts and Nevis 234 manually skipped
Saint Lucia 235 manually skipped
Saint Pierre and Miquelon, France 145 min7step-filter
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines 236 manually skipped
Samoa 237 manually skipped
San Marino 238 manually skipped
Sao Tome and Principe 239 manually skipped
Saskatchewan, Canada 71 manually skipped
Saudi Arabia 240 manually skipped
Senegal 241 no-pre-fit-values-filter
Serbia 242 manually skipped
Seychelles 243 manually skipped
Shaanxi, China 99 manually skipped
Shandong, China 100 manually skipped
Shanghai, China 101 no-pre-fit-values-filter
Shanxi, China 102 manually skipped
Sierra Leone 244 manually skipped
Singapore 245 no-pre-fit-values-filter
Sint Maarten, Netherlands 213 manually skipped
Slovakia 246 manually skipped
Slovenia 247 manually skipped
Solomon Islands 248 min7step-filter
Somalia 249 manually skipped
South Africa 250 manually skipped
South Australia, Australia 30 manually skipped
South Sudan 251 manually skipped
Spain 252 manually skipped
Sri Lanka 253 manually skipped
St Martin, France 146 manually skipped
Sudan 254 no-pre-fit-values-filter
Suriname 255 manually skipped
Sweden 256 manually skipped
Switzerland 257 manually skipped
Syria 258 manually skipped
Taiwan 259 manually skipped
Tajikistan 260 manually skipped
Tanzania 261 manually skipped
Thailand 262 manually skipped
Tianjin, China 104 manually skipped
Tibet, China 105 manually skipped
Timor-Leste 263 manually skipped
Togo 264 no-pre-fit-values-filter
Trinidad and Tobago 265 manually skipped
Tunisia 266 manually skipped
Turkey 267 manually skipped
Turks and Caicos Islands, United Kingdom 282 manually skipped
Uganda 269 manually skipped
Ukraine 270 manually skipped
United Arab Emirates 271 no-pre-fit-values-filter
United Kingdom 283 manually skipped
Unknown, China 106 manually skipped
Uruguay 284 manually skipped
US 268 manually skipped
Uzbekistan 285 no-pre-fit-values-filter
Vanuatu 286 min13-filter
Venezuela 287 no-pre-fit-values-filter
Victoria, Australia 32 manually skipped
Vietnam 288 no-pre-fit-values-filter
Wallis and Futuna, France 147 manually skipped
West Bank and Gaza 289 no-pre-fit-values-filter
Xinjiang, China 107 manually skipped
Yemen 290 no-pre-fit-values-filter
Yunnan, China 108 manually skipped
Zambia 291 no-pre-fit-values-filter
Zhejiang, China 109 manually skipped
Zimbabwe 292 no-pre-fit-values-filter

For countries in this list, data are insufficiant for a good fit.

    • None
    • None

Recent posts

About

Elm Laboratory