Labor am Elm

Elm Laboratory

Consulting and Research

COVID-19 Regional Skipped Fits of Infected People

excluded from fitting by insufficient data

Jens Röder

6 minutes read

For successful fits, follow this link.

For a fit we need a sufficient amount of good data points, otherwise the fit will not stabilize. If the number is below 13, the min13-filter will skip those data sets. Quite often we see some few cases and then a long period no new infections. We might meet the min 13 criteria, but the data are by shape of the curve insufficient to be fitted. Here the min7step-filter skips those who do not have 7 subsequent data steps. And also those are skipped, which`s sum of all infected numbers is less then 2.05 the last number, named max-sum-filter. Finally, there is a manual exclusion list for those data sets, that wont stabilize after manual intervention. During the automatic fitting most difficult data set are excluded and will be included, once sufficient more data are available.


Acualisation date: Tue Mar 2 05:26:25 UTC 2021

location ID, reason why fit was skipped,
Anguilla, United Kingdom 271 min7step-filter
Aruba, Netherlands 209 manually skipped
Austria 34 manually skipped
Beijing, China 77 manually skipped
Belgium 41 manually skipped
Bermuda, United Kingdom 272 no-pre-fit-values-filter
Bonaire - Sint Eustatius and Saba, Netherlands 210 manually skipped
British Columbia, Canada 58 manually skipped
British Virgin Islands, United Kingdom 273 manually skipped
Burma 52 manually skipped
Canada, Canada 16 no-pre-fit-values-filter
Cayman Islands, United Kingdom 274 manually skipped
Chad 74 manually skipped
Channel Islands, United Kingdom 275 manually skipped
Chile 75 manually skipped
China total, China total 3 manually skipped
Chongqing, China 78 manually skipped
Colombia 109 manually skipped
Cote d’Ivoire 114 manually skipped
Croatia 115 manually skipped
Curacao, Netherlands 211 manually skipped
Cyprus 117 manually skipped
Czechia 118 manually skipped
Denmark 121 manually skipped
Diamond Princess, Canada 59 min13-filter
Diamond Princess 122 no-pre-fit-values-filter
Djibouti 123 no-pre-fit-values-filter
El Salvador 128 manually skipped
Equatorial Guinea 129 no-pre-fit-values-filter
Eswatini 132 manually skipped
Ethiopia 133 manually skipped
Falkland Islands (Malvinas), United Kingdom 276 manually skipped
Fiji 134 no-pre-fit-values-filter
Finland 135 manually skipped
France 147 manually skipped
Fujian, China 79 manually skipped
Gabon 148 manually skipped
Gambia 149 manually skipped
Gansu, China 80 manually skipped
Georgia 150 manually skipped
Germany 151 manually skipped
Ghana 152 no-pre-fit-values-filter
Gibraltar, United Kingdom 277 no-pre-fit-values-filter
Grand Princess, Canada 60 min7step-filter
Greece 153 manually skipped
Grenada 154 manually skipped
Guadeloupe, France 138 manually skipped
Guangdong, China 81 manually skipped
Guatemala 155 no-pre-fit-values-filter
Guinea-Bissau 157 no-pre-fit-values-filter
Hainan, China 84 manually skipped
Haiti 159 manually skipped
Hebei, China 85 manually skipped
Heilongjiang, China 86 manually skipped
Henan, China 87 manually skipped
Holy See 160 manually skipped
Honduras 161 no-pre-fit-values-filter
Hong Kong, China 88 manually skipped
Hubei, China 89 manually skipped
Hunan, China 90 manually skipped
Hungary 162 manually skipped
Iceland 163 manually skipped
India 164 manually skipped
Indonesia 165 manually skipped
Iran 166 manually skipped
Iraq 167 manually skipped
Ireland 168 manually skipped
Isle of Man, United Kingdom 278 no-pre-fit-values-filter
Israel 169 manually skipped
Italy 170 manually skipped
Jamaica 171 manually skipped
Japan 172 manually skipped
Jiangsu, China 92 manually skipped
Jiangxi, China 93 manually skipped
Jilin, China 94 manually skipped
Jordan 173 manually skipped
Kazakhstan 174 manually skipped
Kenya 175 no-pre-fit-values-filter
Korea - South 176 manually skipped
Kosovo 177 manually skipped
Kuwait 178 no-pre-fit-values-filter
Kyrgyzstan 179 manually skipped
Laos 180 manually skipped
Latvia 181 no-pre-fit-values-filter
Lesotho 183 manually skipped
Liberia 184 manually skipped
Libya 185 manually skipped
Liechtenstein 186 manually skipped
Lithuania 187 no-pre-fit-values-filter
Madagascar 190 manually skipped
Malawi 191 no-pre-fit-values-filter
Malaysia 192 manually skipped
Maldives 193 manually skipped
Mali 194 manually skipped
Malta 195 manually skipped
Marshall Islands 196 manually skipped
Martinique, France 139 manually skipped
Mauritania 197 manually skipped
Mauritius 198 manually skipped
Mayotte, France 140 manually skipped
Mexico 199 manually skipped
Micronesia 200 min13-filter
Moldova 201 manually skipped
Monaco 202 manually skipped
Mongolia 203 manually skipped
Montenegro 204 manually skipped
Montserrat, United Kingdom 279 manually skipped
Morocco 205 manually skipped
Mozambique 206 manually skipped
MS Zaandam 189 min13-filter
Namibia 207 manually skipped
Nepal 208 manually skipped
Netherlands 213 manually skipped
New Brunswick, Canada 62 manually skipped
New Caledonia, France 141 no-pre-fit-values-filter
New Zealand 214 manually skipped
Nicaragua 215 manually skipped
Nigeria 217 manually skipped
Niger 216 no-pre-fit-values-filter
North Macedonia 218 manually skipped
Norway 219 manually skipped
Oman 220 manually skipped
Ontario, Canada 67 manually skipped
Pakistan 221 manually skipped
Panama 222 manually skipped
Papua New Guinea 223 manually skipped
Paraguay 224 manually skipped
Peru 225 manually skipped
Philippines 226 no-pre-fit-values-filter
Poland 227 manually skipped
Portugal 228 manually skipped
Prince Edward Island, Canada 68 manually skipped
Qatar 229 manually skipped
Qinghai, China 98 manually skipped
Quebec, Canada 69 manually skipped
Repatriated Travellers, Canada 70 manually skipped
Reunion, France 142 manually skipped
Romania 230 no-pre-fit-values-filter
Russia 231 manually skipped
Rwanda 232 manually skipped
Saint Barthelemy, France 143 no-pre-fit-values-filter
Saint Helena - Ascension and Tristan da Cunha, United Kingdom 280 manually skipped
Saint Kitts and Nevis 233 manually skipped
Saint Lucia 234 manually skipped
Saint Pierre and Miquelon, France 144 min7step-filter
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines 235 manually skipped
Samoa 236 manually skipped
San Marino 237 manually skipped
Sao Tome and Principe 238 manually skipped
Saudi Arabia 239 manually skipped
Senegal 240 manually skipped
Serbia 241 no-pre-fit-values-filter
Seychelles 242 manually skipped
Shandong, China 100 manually skipped
Shanxi, China 102 manually skipped
Sierra Leone 243 manually skipped
Singapore 244 manually skipped
Sint Maarten, Netherlands 212 manually skipped
Slovakia 245 no-pre-fit-values-filter
Slovenia 246 manually skipped
Solomon Islands 247 manually skipped
Somalia 248 no-pre-fit-values-filter
South Africa 249 manually skipped
South Australia, Australia 30 manually skipped
South Sudan 250 manually skipped
Spain 251 manually skipped
Sri Lanka 252 manually skipped
St Martin, France 145 no-pre-fit-values-filter
Sudan 253 manually skipped
Suriname 254 no-pre-fit-values-filter
Sweden 255 manually skipped
Switzerland 256 manually skipped
Syria 257 manually skipped
Taiwan 258 manually skipped
Tajikistan 259 manually skipped
Tanzania 260 manually skipped
Thailand 261 manually skipped
Tianjin, China 104 manually skipped
Tibet, China 105 manually skipped
Timor-Leste 262 manually skipped
Togo 263 manually skipped
Trinidad and Tobago 264 no-pre-fit-values-filter
Tunisia 265 manually skipped
Turkey 266 manually skipped
Turks and Caicos Islands, United Kingdom 281 manually skipped
Uganda 268 manually skipped
Ukraine 269 manually skipped
United Arab Emirates 270 manually skipped
United Kingdom 282 manually skipped
Uruguay 283 manually skipped
US 267 manually skipped
Uzbekistan 284 manually skipped
Vanuatu 285 min13-filter
Venezuela 286 no-pre-fit-values-filter
Victoria, Australia 32 manually skipped
Vietnam 287 no-pre-fit-values-filter
Wallis and Futuna, France 146 manually skipped
West Bank and Gaza 288 no-pre-fit-values-filter
Xinjiang, China 106 manually skipped
Yemen 289 no-pre-fit-values-filter
Yunnan, China 107 manually skipped
Zambia 290 no-pre-fit-values-filter
Zhejiang, China 108 manually skipped
Zimbabwe 291 no-pre-fit-values-filter

For countries in this list, data are insufficiant for a good fit.

    • None
    • None

Recent posts

About

Elm Laboratory