Laboratory at the Elm – Covid-19

COVID-19 Regional Numbers of Infected People

with Advanced Gompertz Function



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All the fits of the data of individual areas are created fully automatically. You may check on the graph (click on the image) if the fit has a sufficient quality, matching the data points as best as possible. There may be some cases, where by too unexpected real data, the fit is not giving a good forecast. So please use common sense to evaluate the data.

Locations or countries with not enough data points or other reasons are skipped and can be found in this list.

The table shows from the left: The maximum last cumulative number, the expected maximum number by fit, graph and location, the T2 also known as doubling time of the exponential growth, the day of turning point of the function.

The turning point is important, showing the turn from purely exponential growth to the process of fading out by limited number of victims.

In the middle of the graph is written the doubling time, that describes the time it needs to double the number of cases. This number is calculated using the logistic function and describes the growth before the turning point, where numbers rise quickly. In a simple picture, the T2 of the Gompertz function describes the later part and the doubling time of the logisitic the first part.

Color code on numbers of infected people: Below 30 , between 30 and 99, between 100 and 499, between 500 and 999, between 1000 and 4999, above 5000.

Color code on locations describe percentages of last number and expected Nmax: Above 95%, between 90% and 95%, between 80% and 89%, between 70% and 79%, between 60% and 69%, when number of cases is above 50 and Nmax is below 50% or the doubling time is below 3.5 days! Above 130%, a reoccurrence of an outbreak is indicated.

The location color code tells you, how well the Covid-19 outbreak has faded out and is under control (greenish). In red and magenta the areas are on fast rise in numbers. The color code in numbers tells you how severe the outbreak was in that region.

Applied maths is explained here.


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Actualisation date: Mon Oct 19 04:31:25 UTC 2020

Ncurrent Nmax (fit) cumulative location cases daily t2 (fit) dturning point (fit)
749455114119118 (±1.1%) India 45.789 (±0.5%) 261.74 (±0.3%)
52243625980111 (±0.2%) Brazil 37.226 (±0.2%) 202.42 (±0.1%)
13760201291367 (±1.4%) Russia 36.715 (±2.0%) 165.89 (±0.7%)
9791192585447 (±0.8%) Argentina 52.679 (±0.3%) 289.45 (±0.2%)
9523711142732 (±0.8%) Colombia 35.213 (±0.7%) 224.97 (±0.2%)
8624171158392 (±1.8%) Peru 45.505 (±1.4%) 210.19 (±0.7%)
847108967743 (±0.6%) Mexico 39.089 (±0.5%) 203.63 (±0.2%)
843475185231 (±0.4%) France 11.570 (±1.2%) 94.38 (±0.2%)
705428289608 (±0.2%) United Kingdom 17.447 (±0.6%) 106.59 (±0.1%)
702131692111 (±0.3%) South Africa 22.690 (±0.8%) 190.39 (±0.1%)
526490596560 (±1.6%) Iran 47.338 (±1.4%) 181.38 (±0.9%)
490003461185 (±0.6%) Chile 27.655 (±1.2%) 162.31 (±0.3%)
423524666887 (±0.9%) Iraq 43.943 (±0.6%) 245.87 (±0.3%)
402536238124 (±0.2%) Italy 14.122 (±0.6%) 88.54 (±0.1%)
387295400165 (±0.4%) Bangladesh 32.675 (±0.6%) 185.16 (±0.1%)
364664183324 (±0.3%) Germany 12.133 (±1.0%) 90.51 (±0.2%)
3577621357503 (±4.2%) Indonesia 67.923 (±1.2%) 321.81 (±1.1%)
354338502417 (±1.9%) Philippines 40.055 (±1.3%) 236.45 (±0.5%)
345678171535 (±0.6%) Turkey 14.184 (±1.3%) 105.25 (±0.2%)
341854344470 (±0.2%) Saudi Arabia 27.901 (±0.4%) 163.48 (±0.1%)
323019310686 (±0.3%) Pakistan 22.603 (±0.8%) 158.74 (±0.2%)
30277016815 (±0.3%) Israel 10.672 (±0.7%) 92.80 (±0.1%)
30185617822151 (±28.9%) Ukraine 110.457 (±3.4%) 559.47 (±4.2%)
22005249020 (±0.3%) Netherlands 14.381 (±1.0%) 96.59 (±0.2%)
21311560087 (±0.2%) Belgium 13.680 (±0.6%) 98.17 (±0.1%)
197067107302 (±0.2%) Canada, Canada 17.896 (±0.4%) 112.45 (±0.1%)
1709118802 (±0.5%) Morocco 16.513 (±0.7%) 112.69 (±0.1%)
1688278659 (±0.6%) Czechia 12.056 (±1.5%) 91.01 (±0.2%)
16723040266 (±1.9%) Poland 24.996 (±1.7%) 127.89 (±0.7%)
152422183176 (±2.0%) Ecuador 46.447 (±1.7%) 192.15 (±1.0%)
139710151664 (±0.3%) Bolivia 30.904 (±0.4%) 197.59 (±0.1%)
12930421811 (±1.9%) Nepal 17.713 (±1.8%) 170.05 (±0.2%)
129227122852 (±0.3%) Qatar 23.109 (±0.7%) 145.29 (±0.2%)
124107142058 (±0.6%) Panama 38.248 (±0.6%) 200.77 (±0.2%)
115483122539 (±1.1%) Kuwait 38.520 (±1.3%) 183.71 (±0.5%)
114387111611 (±2.6%) United Arab Emirates 42.767 (±2.6%) 176.58 (±1.4%)
109406110073 (±0.6%) Kazakhstan 20.201 (±1.6%) 183.94 (±0.2%)
108296100461 (±0.6%) Oman 26.289 (±1.3%) 177.51 (±0.2%)
105297103393 (±0.2%) Egypt 22.543 (±0.6%) 160.19 (±0.1%)
10320063443 (±2.5%) Sweden 24.491 (±1.9%) 125.58 (±0.8%)
101028108335 (±0.4%) Guatemala 32.993 (±0.5%) 204.69 (±0.1%)
9805598767 (±4.5%) Portugal 50.823 (±4.0%) 172.29 (±3.0%)
95514185011 (±1.3%) Costa Rica 44.769 (±0.6%) 267.63 (±0.3%)
9267016983 (±0.4%) Japan 12.055 (±1.1%) 100.33 (±0.2%)
910186273 (±1155.0%) Quebec, Canada 18.173 (±87.6%) 120.30 (±83.4%)
9095585891 (±0.2%) China total, China total 6.221 (±2.1%) 37.35 (±0.6%)
88434107975 (±1.6%) Ethiopia 32.402 (±1.5%) 235.15 (±0.3%)
8759496390 (±0.9%) Honduras 36.299 (±0.9%) 206.45 (±0.3%)
8706375387 (±0.5%) Belarus 23.264 (±1.4%) 137.00 (±0.3%)
86289122169 (±1.0%) Venezuela 37.577 (±0.7%) 241.76 (±0.2%)
7757192220 (±1.6%) Bahrain 42.667 (±1.4%) 201.30 (±0.7%)
74422331379119 (±1420.1%) Switzerland 287.015 (±85.5%) 1512.31 (±126.6%)
6813968113 (±0.1%) Hubei, China 5.537 (±1.0%) 37.92 (±0.2%)
66652160979 (±5.3%) Moldova 64.536 (±2.0%) 283.41 (±1.8%)
6586951433 (±1.2%) Ontario, Canada 30.656 (±2.4%) 132.34 (±1.0%)
6313416147 (±0.4%) Austria 9.354 (±1.4%) 85.10 (±0.2%)
6300053655 (±0.9%) Armenia 30.416 (±1.6%) 172.92 (±0.4%)
6280979252 (±1.4%) Uzbekistan 38.367 (±1.2%) 222.14 (±0.4%)
6130715242 (±4.5%) Nigeria 18.635 (±2.1%) 136.59 (±0.7%)
612842150 (±5.4%) Lebanon 30.089 (±4.2%) 124.08 (±2.6%)
5790456941 (±0.4%) Singapore 24.877 (±1.1%) 131.73 (±0.3%)
5420314382 (±1.4%) Algeria 22.825 (±1.1%) 127.96 (±0.4%)
54015132399 (±4.4%) Paraguay 44.472 (±1.8%) 283.47 (±0.8%)
514903835 (±8.8%) Kyrgyzstan 28.089 (±4.2%) 143.30 (±2.6%)
4867825423 (±0.2%) Ireland 12.404 (±0.6%) 101.93 (±0.1%)
47845108488 (±2.2%) Libya 42.019 (±0.9%) 280.89 (±0.4%)
4723250187 (±0.8%) Ghana 29.056 (±1.3%) 178.68 (±0.3%)
4674678775 (±2.5%) West Bank and Gaza 42.934 (±1.4%) 253.86 (±0.6%)
448164107 (±0.3%) Hungary 15.160 (±0.6%) 105.32 (±0.1%)
4431741843 (±0.5%) Azerbaijan 27.312 (±0.9%) 176.19 (±0.2%)
4419643168 (±0.8%) Kenya 27.633 (±1.2%) 202.88 (±0.2%)
405421062 (±0.3%) Tunisia 10.970 (±1.0%) 91.85 (±0.1%)
4014138817 (±0.2%) Afghanistan 19.813 (±0.6%) 149.74 (±0.1%)
360531533 (±3.7%) Jordan 31.825 (±3.3%) 131.00 (±1.9%)
3594611564 (±0.3%) Serbia 12.672 (±0.8%) 104.05 (±0.1%)
3494112338 (±0.4%) Denmark 15.809 (±0.8%) 97.48 (±0.2%)
34875161266 (±7.8%) Burma 32.754 (±2.1%) 304.45 (±0.7%)
3356152248 (±2.7%) Bosnia and Herzegovina 47.759 (±1.6%) 242.85 (±0.9%)
3145632452 (±0.8%) El Salvador 29.740 (±1.1%) 197.89 (±0.2%)
2910837349 (±3.7%) Bulgaria 48.365 (±2.3%) 230.28 (±1.3%)
282681551 (±0.7%) Slovakia 12.263 (±1.8%) 96.17 (±0.3%)
2519910450 (±0.6%) Korea - South 8.044 (±2.3%) 61.61 (±0.4%)
249322839 (±0.4%) Greece 12.224 (±1.0%) 87.60 (±0.2%)
247612219 (±0.4%) Croatia 11.142 (±1.1%) 90.35 (±0.1%)
232011787 (±0.8%) North Macedonia 12.882 (±1.2%) 98.81 (±0.2%)
217757442 (±1.4%) Alberta, Canada 13.650 (±2.3%) 107.84 (±0.3%)
2144121110 (±0.3%) Cameroon 27.500 (±0.7%) 158.63 (±0.2%)
203191547 (±0.9%) Victoria, Australia 10.141 (±3.2%) 86.38 (±0.5%)
2030120206 (±0.5%) Cote d'Ivoire 26.603 (±1.0%) 172.31 (±0.2%)
1962710756 (±1.8%) Malaysia 27.450 (±4.3%) 107.48 (±2.1%)
1681016713 (±0.5%) Madagascar 21.472 (±1.2%) 196.81 (±0.1%)
1677432640 (±2.1%) Albania 53.417 (±1.0%) 262.16 (±0.6%)
1660617653 (±0.9%) Kosovo 29.672 (±1.3%) 202.56 (±0.2%)
163698478 (±0.3%) Norway 12.172 (±1.1%) 84.90 (±0.2%)
162851651309489 (±626.8%) Georgia 109.927 (±25.0%) 709.82 (±30.7%)
157891624 (±1.8%) Zambia 16.149 (±2.9%) 137.51 (±0.4%)
15427325 (±0.3%) Montenegro 8.297 (±1.3%) 90.42 (±0.1%)
1539216800 (±0.4%) Senegal 35.242 (±0.6%) 176.98 (±0.2%)
1369113479 (±0.3%) Sudan 24.040 (±0.9%) 153.75 (±0.2%)
132937263 (±0.1%) Finland 16.216 (±0.3%) 101.49 (±0.1%)
124161477 (±0.2%) Slovenia 11.085 (±0.5%) 84.89 (±0.1%)
1226313842 (±0.9%) Namibia 26.983 (±1.1%) 231.50 (±0.2%)
1147811943 (±1.0%) Guinea 37.716 (±1.3%) 168.90 (±0.5%)
111892630 (±0.7%) British Columbia, Canada 15.149 (±1.4%) 93.32 (±0.3%)
1117820164 (±4.9%) Maldives 51.134 (±2.6%) 244.79 (±1.7%)
1100010683 (±0.2%) Congo (Kinshasa) 25.082 (±0.5%) 158.74 (±0.1%)
10707127075 (±16.4%) Mozambique 74.988 (±3.1%) 393.11 (±3.0%)
104713927 (±0.3%) Luxembourg 9.539 (±1.1%) 86.45 (±0.2%)
10455101590588 (±235.8%) Uganda 136.723 (±12.6%) 800.59 (±16.4%)
104559700 (±1.1%) Tajikistan 29.146 (±2.4%) 156.66 (±0.6%)
102439869 (±0.3%) French Guiana, France 21.929 (±0.8%) 180.59 (±0.1%)
89568480 (±0.4%) Haiti 20.981 (±1.2%) 159.92 (±0.2%)
88818976 (±0.3%) Gabon 26.421 (±0.6%) 161.16 (±0.1%)
8195570 (±1.3%) Jamaica 11.203 (±2.8%) 110.43 (±0.3%)
763816814 (±3.6%) Cabo Verde 57.028 (±1.5%) 275.31 (±1.1%)
76077312 (±0.3%) Mauritania 19.790 (±0.9%) 171.39 (±0.1%)
746240229 (±9.2%) Angola 63.331 (±2.2%) 342.01 (±1.8%)
72691660 (±0.7%) Lithuania 12.576 (±2.0%) 93.15 (±0.4%)
7122158 (±0.5%) Guadeloupe, France 8.325 (±2.5%) 82.82 (±0.3%)
61702339 (±0.5%) Cuba 16.067 (±1.4%) 107.58 (±0.3%)
58525969 (±0.4%) Malawi 22.445 (±0.9%) 191.86 (±0.1%)
57656271 (±0.7%) Eswatini 29.689 (±1.0%) 207.22 (±0.2%)
56289238 (±3.4%) Bahamas 38.910 (±1.8%) 263.16 (±0.7%)
54754151 (±2.5%) Sri Lanka 37.768 (±3.2%) 161.09 (±1.4%)
54521136 (±1.2%) Djibouti 6.885 (±3.0%) 104.92 (±0.2%)
53535314 (±0.6%) Nicaragua 28.751 (±1.1%) 176.33 (±0.2%)
5281116 (±0.4%) Trinidad and Tobago 7.201 (±2.1%) 82.76 (±0.2%)
524210172 (±12.5%) Botswana 50.938 (±4.7%) 285.86 (±2.9%)
51565651 (±1.1%) Congo (Brazzaville) 31.644 (±1.5%) 192.76 (±0.4%)
51235504 (±0.8%) Suriname 26.472 (±1.2%) 214.77 (±0.2%)
50705426 (±1.2%) Equatorial Guinea 28.892 (±2.3%) 172.58 (±0.5%)
50336101 (±1.8%) Syria 32.143 (±1.6%) 237.21 (±0.4%)
49716893 (±3.3%) Rwanda 39.626 (±2.7%) 221.35 (±1.0%)
48554800 (±0.2%) Central African Republic 17.833 (±0.6%) 160.29 (±0.1%)
4776435 (±0.5%) Reunion, France 8.012 (±1.9%) 87.03 (±0.2%)
4486660 (±0.7%) Malta 16.751 (±1.9%) 96.56 (±0.5%)
43383060 (±0.2%) New South Wales, Australia 7.622 (±1.0%) 85.14 (±0.1%)
4304104 (±0.5%) Aruba, Netherlands 8.672 (±2.6%) 88.43 (±0.3%)
40521936 (±0.4%) Estonia 13.239 (±1.4%) 89.96 (±0.3%)
40303589 (±0.8%) Mayotte, France 27.728 (±1.7%) 141.93 (±0.5%)
39981818 (±0.1%) Iceland 8.752 (±0.8%) 83.73 (±0.1%)
38643448 (±0.4%) Somalia 21.570 (±1.3%) 136.61 (±0.3%)
379761 (±0.3%) French Polynesia, France 9.689 (±1.4%) 84.94 (±0.2%)
3710440758621 (±285.5%) Guyana 162.489 (±11.5%) 975.67 (±15.8%)
36863297 (±0.4%) Thailand 11.421 (±2.2%) 87.82 (±0.4%)
339216055 (±114.3%) Latvia 119.927 (±27.5%) 448.92 (±40.6%)
33793063 (±0.6%) Mali 27.662 (±1.4%) 146.68 (±0.4%)
3377805 (±0.6%) Andorra 10.434 (±2.2%) 88.66 (±0.3%)
3173297 (±0.6%) Manitoba, Canada 9.098 (±2.6%) 90.60 (±0.3%)
28172459 (±5.2%) South Sudan 16.708 (±4.6%) 150.30 (±0.7%)
27753495 (±2.8%) Belize 30.177 (±2.1%) 253.46 (±0.4%)
2581963 (±0.3%) Cyprus 11.760 (±1.2%) 93.13 (±0.2%)
25016849 (±15.1%) Uruguay 85.079 (±5.6%) 301.99 (±7.1%)
24962417 (±0.7%) Benin 25.949 (±1.5%) 176.91 (±0.3%)
23891327 (±4.7%) Guinea-Bissau 10.589 (±4.2%) 127.00 (±0.4%)
234318262 (±64.2%) Burkina Faso 115.288 (±14.5%) 452.43 (±20.5%)
23272195 (±0.5%) Sierra Leone 26.464 (±1.1%) 153.07 (±0.3%)
22703040 (±4.0%) Saskatchewan, Canada 54.156 (±2.8%) 203.62 (±2.2%)
2257191 (±0.7%) Martinique, France 10.034 (±2.7%) 85.41 (±0.4%)
20552226 (±7.5%) Yemen 23.085 (±3.6%) 168.94 (±1.2%)
2049811 (±2.6%) Togo 23.770 (±2.6%) 139.63 (±0.8%)
18861515 (±0.1%) New Zealand 7.948 (±0.8%) 89.65 (±0.1%)
18811352 (±0.1%) Guangdong, China 4.551 (±0.5%) 31.50 (±0.1%)
18332089 (±2.3%) Lesotho 32.419 (±2.4%) 225.43 (±0.5%)
13771397 (±0.6%) Liberia 26.336 (±1.3%) 163.38 (±0.3%)
1365880 (±0.4%) Chad 12.115 (±1.1%) 131.57 (±0.1%)
12831263 (±0.1%) Zhejiang, China 4.563 (±1.2%) 30.82 (±0.3%)
12811277 (±0.0%) Henan, China 4.592 (±0.3%) 32.44 (±0.1%)
12091145 (±0.5%) Niger 18.203 (±2.2%) 105.14 (±0.6%)
11641090 (±0.3%) Queensland, Australia 8.391 (±2.3%) 84.14 (±0.3%)
11262056 (±9.6%) Vietnam 59.300 (±5.3%) 225.45 (±4.8%)
10931075 (±0.1%) Nova Scotia, Canada 11.567 (±0.7%) 100.38 (±0.1%)
1085338 (±0.2%) Shanghai, China 4.515 (±0.7%) 30.37 (±0.2%)
10191019 (±0.0%) Hunan, China 4.483 (±0.3%) 31.67 (±0.1%)
991992 (±0.0%) Anhui, China 4.597 (±0.5%) 33.03 (±0.1%)
948484 (±0.2%) Heilongjiang, China 4.826 (±1.0%) 35.45 (±0.2%)
937935 (±0.0%) Jiangxi, China 4.438 (±0.5%) 32.90 (±0.1%)
937414 (±0.4%) Beijing, China 5.381 (±1.1%) 31.17 (±0.3%)
932900 (±0.5%) Sao Tome and Principe 20.975 (±1.6%) 144.50 (±0.3%)
90276 (±0.2%) Xinjiang, China 5.316 (±1.2%) 34.59 (±0.3%)
845801 (±0.2%) Shandong, China 7.292 (±1.6%) 35.88 (±0.6%)
759713 (±0.2%) San Marino 16.495 (±0.8%) 93.13 (±0.2%)
74977 (±0.3%) Sint Maarten, Netherlands 8.815 (±1.3%) 96.14 (±0.1%)
748604 (±0.5%) Channel Islands, United Kingdom 11.026 (±3.3%) 93.67 (±0.5%)
725601 (±0.5%) Sichuan, China 6.896 (±4.3%) 33.49 (±1.6%)
71516 (±1.2%) Curacao, Netherlands 9.179 (±3.2%) 84.39 (±0.4%)
712712 (±0.1%) Diamond Princess 4.270 (±1.4%) 44.74 (±0.2%)
711630 (±0.5%) Western Australia, Australia 10.742 (±3.0%) 86.61 (±0.5%)
698251076 (±4340.0%) Turks and Caicos Islands, United Kingdom 150.600 (±239.7%) 821.06 (±345.9%)
669654 (±0.1%) Jiangsu, China 5.101 (±1.0%) 33.24 (±0.2%)
586581 (±0.0%) Chongqing, China 4.961 (±0.4%) 30.81 (±0.1%)
558598784 (±515.2%) Gibraltar, United Kingdom 212.455 (±37.0%) 1094.67 (±53.5%)
536523 (±0.8%) Burundi 27.233 (±1.5%) 183.25 (±0.3%)
535471 (±0.4%) Taiwan 11.692 (±2.5%) 81.37 (±0.5%)
53140 (±0.5%) St Martin, France 9.656 (±2.3%) 88.79 (±0.3%)
509532 (±1.9%) Tanzania 8.933 (±4.2%) 110.47 (±0.3%)
502477 (±0.7%) Comoros 25.948 (±1.6%) 165.87 (±0.3%)
483187 (±0.1%) Faroe Islands, Denmark 6.277 (±0.9%) 79.23 (±0.1%)
482451 (±0.2%) South Australia, Australia 6.894 (±1.7%) 84.05 (±0.2%)
45239 (±0.4%) Eritrea 6.889 (±2.0%) 90.44 (±0.2%)
436945723 (±2371.3%) Shaanxi, China 405.466 (±167.2%) 2031.72 (±254.3%)
417296 (±0.2%) Fujian, China 4.669 (±0.9%) 30.36 (±0.2%)
417350 (±0.4%) Mauritius 8.025 (±3.1%) 89.71 (±0.3%)
368342 (±0.3%) Hebei, China 6.028 (±2.7%) 34.70 (±0.8%)
348337 (±0.1%) Isle of Man, United Kingdom 9.088 (±0.8%) 95.30 (±0.1%)
325753 (±8.4%) Bhutan 58.753 (±3.4%) 272.64 (±2.7%)
32087 (±28.2%) Mongolia 20.605 (±12.8%) 111.79 (±7.3%)
297119 (±0.6%) New Brunswick, Canada 7.038 (±2.1%) 86.83 (±0.2%)
287265 (±0.2%) Newfoundland and Labrador, Canada 7.000 (±1.7%) 87.46 (±0.1%)
283333 (±3.8%) Cambodia 45.355 (±4.2%) 145.68 (±3.1%)
280126 (±0.5%) Liaoning, China 4.818 (±2.1%) 30.11 (±0.5%)
275262 (±0.5%) Inner Mongolia, China 24.363 (±1.6%) 76.84 (±1.0%)
260255 (±0.1%) Guangxi, China 5.312 (±0.5%) 31.48 (±0.2%)
26097 (±0.3%) Monaco 8.468 (±1.3%) 86.43 (±0.2%)
252138 (±0.4%) Tianjin, China 5.603 (±1.3%) 32.98 (±0.3%)
233213 (±0.5%) Cayman Islands, United Kingdom 22.530 (±1.5%) 121.81 (±0.4%)
231230 (±0.2%) Tasmania, Australia 11.009 (±1.1%) 94.07 (±0.2%)
21991 (±0.7%) Barbados 10.968 (±2.6%) 89.81 (±0.4%)
217103 (±2.3%) Liechtenstein 7.714 (±537833604.4%) 81.06 (±1349902955.0%)
2112871 (±552.4%) Yunnan, China 380.146 (±126.4%) 1236.56 (±238.7%)
185484133 (±2938.2%) Bermuda, United Kingdom 403.699 (±205.1%) 2032.98 (±310.5%)
171170 (±0.1%) Hainan, China 5.172 (±0.9%) 31.82 (±0.2%)
17092 (±0.7%) Gansu, China 4.434 (±2.2%) 31.01 (±0.4%)
15793 (±0.5%) Jilin, China 4.141 (±2.0%) 33.81 (±0.3%)
1503293054 (±603.6%) Bonaire - Sint Eustatius and Saba, Netherlands 107.953 (±29.4%) 677.45 (±35.4%)
14911 (±0.5%) Seychelles 7.817 (±2.8%) 77.73 (±0.3%)
147147 (±0.1%) Guizhou, China 4.473 (±0.9%) 34.71 (±0.2%)
147142 (±0.1%) Brunei 7.342 (±1.3%) 76.41 (±0.1%)
119118 (±2.6%) Antigua and Barbuda 37.473 (±3.5%) 163.76 (±1.4%)
113110 (±0.2%) Australian Capital Territory, Australia 6.857 (±1.9%) 84.65 (±0.2%)
7575 (±0.1%) Ningxia, China 5.648 (±0.8%) 33.46 (±0.2%)
7214731760 (±746.3%) Saint Barthelemy, France 160.621 (±28.2%) 977.08 (±38.7%)
718 (±0.7%) British Virgin Islands, United Kingdom 15.476 (±2.5%) 98.97 (±0.5%)
6775 (±2.0%) Saint Vincent and the Grenadines 39.349 (±2.6%) 163.53 (±1.2%)
65614 (±106.5%) Prince Edward Island, Canada 135.365 (±23.4%) 511.49 (±35.6%)
4646 (±0.6%) Macau, China 14.390 (±2.9%) 69.28 (±1.1%)
3331 (±0.4%) Northern Territory, Australia 7.784 (±3.6%) 86.66 (±0.4%)
3328 (±1.6%) Saint Lucia 34.056 (±4.2%) 95.54 (±2.4%)
3236 (±3.8%) Fiji 46.493 (±5.8%) 113.95 (±3.7%)
2925 (±0.5%) Timor-Leste 4.914 (±5.7%) 105.58 (±0.2%)
2724 (±0.4%) Grenada 15.155 (±2.0%) 93.23 (±0.5%)
2728 (±3.5%) New Caledonia, France 48.619 (±8.6%) 14.64 (±139.6%)
2320 (±0.6%) Laos 9.017 (±4.8%) 89.66 (±0.6%)
1818 (±0.1%) Qinghai, China 3.605 (±1.6%) 29.22 (±0.3%)


For countries in this list, the number of infected people must be at minimum 13 people. In the list of numbers of a country, there must be at least 7 different numbers. The turning point is guessed by using half the maximum number and then looks for the first value above that value. If the turning point is at the last value, the fit is omitted. The order of countries is by having its first case.
.·. Impressum